December 2012 Visa Bulletin was released today, surprisingly 2 days earlier than expected. Dates for EB2 India is 01 SEP 04 and EB2 China is 22 OCT 07. The cut-off for EB2-ROW, EB2-Mexico and EB2-Philippines is Current.
There are quite a few things in the visa bulletin, that we must pay attention to. One, there is a future prediction section which says there won't be any movement for EB2 India for some months to come. Two, they say there might be a cut-off date for EB5 China in the future. Both are bad news for EB2 India. Increase in demand for EB5 and EB1 directly means less visas for EB2 via spill over.
The demand data is not available yet for this month. So, its hard to predict how many EB3 to EB2 porting happened last month.
There is a very good article in Murthy.com. It basically says that -- Mr. Charles Oppenheim, the Chief of the DOS Immigrant Visa Control and Reporting Division, has predicted that by Sept 2013 the best case scenario for EB2 India will be early 2008 date. One interesting fact there is that, in FY12 EB2 India received about 19,000 visas but it is expected to be much much less in FY13.
Cut-off dates for EB3 India is 01 NOV 02 and EB3 China is 01 JUL 06. As expected, EB3 India is moving at one week or two weeks per month pace. For EB3 India, it is going to move at this pace only till there is a legislative change. The reason being there is no spill over to EB3 India category. Hence only about 2800 green cards are given for this category every year.