February 2013 Visa Bulletin was released yesterday. Dates for EB2 India is 01 SEP 04 and EB2 China is 15 JAN 08. The cut-off for EB2-ROW, EB2-Mexico and EB2-Philippines is Current.
The good news here is that the EB2 China date has moved about 6 months from the start of this fiscal year (from Oct 2012). All the other countries are current. This means, we can still expect the bulk of visas from spillover to go to EB2 India category at the end of fiscal year in September 2013.
This does not mean the dates will go very far. The indications are clear from the demand data released today that porting from EB3 to EB2 is happening every month. Demand is still 275 for folks with priority date before Jan 1, 2005 -- which is same as last month irrespective of immigrant visas being given. Also, comparing last month's demand data to this month's, the cumulative demand prior to Jan 1, 2009 has increased from 23,175 to 23,550 for EB2 India.
Now the question is, when the dates will move for EB2 India and how much. I still feel there won't be any movement at-least till June visa bulletin. Then, it might move till early 2008 date in September 2013 visa bulletin.
Cut-off dates for EB3 India is 15 NOV 02 and EB3 China is 15 NOV 06. As expected, EB3 India is moving at one week or two weeks per month pace. For EB3 India, it is going to move at this pace only till there is a legislative change. The reason being there is no spill over to EB3 India category. Hence only about 2800 green cards are given for this category every year.
To view the February 2013 Visa Bulletin -- Please Click Here
To view the Demand Data -- Please Click Here