March 2013 Visa Bulletin was released earlier today. Date for EB2 India is 01 SEP 04 and EB2 China is 15 FEB 08. The cut-off for EB2-ROW, EB2-Mexico and EB2-Philippines is Current.
After a very long time, the visa bulletin offers prediction. The prediction for April to June is as follows from the Visa Bulletin link given below:
China: Three to six weeks
India: No movement. Despite the established cut-off date having been held for the past five months in an effort to keep demand within the average monthly usage targets, the amount of demand being received from U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) Offices for adjustment of status cases remains extremely high. Should the current rate of demand continue, it is likely that at some point the cut-off date will need to be retrogressed in an effort to hold demand within the FY-2013 annual limit.
The good news here is the rapid movement predicted for EB2 China. But the bad news is, it says EB2 India might retrogress even back. We sincerely hope that does not happen. Other than that, the no movement for EB2 India till June is pretty much in alignment with what we have been thinking all along.
The demand data for this month has been released earlier. Even that show higher demand than last month. In this case, even the cumulative demand prior to Jan 1, 2005 has raised to 300 and the cumulative demand prior to 1 Jan 2009 is 23,975.
What will happen next ? Like mentioned in the earlier posts, USCIS/DOS has gone back to their earlier strategy -- where in they wait till last quarter of the FY to determine the number of visas to give for EB2 India and China. Given this, I expect lot of movement in July. Going by today's data, it might go to 1 Jan 2008. But it will depend on the spill over and the number of porting.
Cut-off dates for EB3 India is 22 NOV 02 and EB3 China is 22 JAN 07. As expected, EB3 India is moving at one week or two weeks per month pace. For EB3 India, it is going to move at this pace only till there is a legislative change. The reason being there is no spill over to EB3 India category. Hence only about 2800 green cards are given for this category every year.
One thing that is different this year -- there is revived talk about Immigration everywhere -- in the media, in Washington, in House and in Senate. Lets all hope, at least one of the bills getting introduced gets passed that will help clear this backlog.
To view the March 2013 Visa Bulletin -- Please Click Here
To view the Demand Data -- Please Click Here