Thursday, October 10, 2013

November 2013 Visa Bulletin and Analysis


November 2013 Visa Bulletin was released earlier today. 

EB2:
Date for EB2 India is 15 JUN 08 and EB2 China is 08 OCT 08. The cut-off for all other EB2 countries are Current.

EB2 China keeps moving forward.

As expected, the dates stay the same for EB2 India.I think it is a good news. 

Now, the question is what will happen in the next visa bulletin for EB2 India. I think there are 2 options. One, it will stay as it is. Two, it can retrogress back. I believe DOS has a cut off, little about the regular monthly approvals, say about 400 porting applications per month. If it crosses this number, they will move back the dates. Depending on the dates of the applicants who are porting - anywhere between 01 SEP 04 to 01 JAN 08. But, I feel it will stay the same.

EB3:

Cut-off dates for EB3 India is 22 SEP 03 and EB3 China is 01 OCT 10. 

I thought, the EB3 India date will at-least move this month. But, for some reason, DOS has kept it the same. Comparing the numbers for applicants with priority date prior to Jan 1, 2005 -- the new Demand Data and the I-485 pending inventory released in July -- have very similar number. That makes me believe, DOS and USCIS are still consolidating the number of porting from EB3 India to EB2 India. I am hoping once that is done, the dates for EB3 India will move foreward.

Demand Data:
The new demand data was released yesterday. It has some interesting information.

First, the total number of visas is 148,000 instead of regular 140,000 and the last year 158,000. It seems like FY 13 spill over from FB has already been applied to FY 14 Employment based demand and that number is 8,000. Even though, it has reduced from 18,000 last year to 8,000 current year, it is a good news that there is some.

Second, all the EB2 numbers has been consolidated to Jan 1, 2009 or prior. For EB2 India it is 9,000. 

Third, they indicate that whoever didn't get the Green Card for FY 13 and the date is current, will likely get it this month if everything is good.

Links:
You can see offical November 2013 Visa Bulletin here - http://travel.state.gov/visa/bulletin/bulletin_6168.html
You can see the offical Demand Data here - http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/EmploymentDemandUsedForCutOffDates.pdf

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269 comments:

  1. Hi Ambals,

    Thanks a lot on this analysis. Very informative... I have a question here..

    For folks whose dates are current, but filing 485 in the month of October, what is the prediction?

    When they will be able to get their GC?

    Thanks,
    Raja

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. About 90 days, assuming your date is still current and application has no issues.

      Delete
  2. Good analysis...Does the statement "didn't get the Green Card for FY 13 and the date is current," cover people who filed I-485 in the month of Sept 2013 when their Priority date became current..??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Typically, it is taking about 90 days from your I-485 notice date to get Green Card. This is under the assumption, your PD is still current and everything is good on your application.

      Delete
  3. Hi Ambals,
    Referring to your statement here - "Third, they indicate that whoever didn't get the Green Card for FY 13 and the date is current, will likely get it this month if everything is good."

    Does this mean Aug 2013 first time filers have visa numbers already assigned to them?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Aug 2013 first time filers have very good chance to get GC this month.

      Delete
  4. Could you please explain a bit as to how you arrived at this conclusion "Third, they indicate that whoever didn't get the Green Card for FY 13 and the date is current, will likely get it this month if everything is good."?

    ReplyDelete
  5. Hi Ambals

    My priority date is dec 5th 2007 eb-2. filed 485, ap and ead on august 1st, finger printing done on august 28th, received ap and ead combo on sept 12th.

    when do you think I can get my GC?

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hopefully by the end of this month.

      Delete
    2. Hi Ambals

      My status still shows as "acceptance"... it's been over 60 days since I completed ny FP. do you think I might get before November 30th? are there still visa numbers left? Thanks

      Delete
  6. Dear Ambals,

    EB2-I first time filer with priority date of Sept 2007. What are my chances of GC this year itself considering the current visa bulletin and demand data?

    P.S: As you'd predicted, I already got my EAD and AP within 60 days. Thank You!

    Regards,
    Raj.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Typically, it is taking about 90 days from your I-485 notice date to get Green Card. So, hopefully this month.

      Delete
    2. Thanks, Ambals for your kind words.

      Delete
    3. Hi Ambals,

      We got greened over the weekend. Your prediction again was spot on. My wife was skeptical at first at your estimations, but now she is a believer too.

      Thank You so much for your selfless work, Ambals. You are truly an angel.

      Good luck to all those who are waiting. It's been a long wait for me as well, so I understand your frustrations too, but I'm seeing light at the end of tunnel for everyone.

      Delete
  7. Ambals, Based on the demand data, do you have any estimate on how long the EB2 India dates will move in FY 2014 ?.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. As of now, the best case looks like Dec 2009.

      Delete
  8. my priority date is april 2010 - any chances of getting through before next year is out?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Current trend is like about 6 years from your priority date.

      Delete
  9. My date is June 2009 - EB2I. Is there a possibility for the dates to move to June 2009 in the next fiscal year. I will be a first time filer.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes. It is possible. Hopefully, August 2014.

      Delete
  10. Ambals- Thanks for your analysis. I need your take on India EB3
    .
    My PD 8th Oct 2003 for EB3 India.

    I am still on H1B, thinking of porting to EB2. I thought dates will move at least one week every month but looks like it is stuck/Will it retrogress?
    As per Demand data only 2900 EB3 is pending prior to January 1, 2004. How much EB3 India will be released every month?

    Is this Calculation/assumption is correct
    as per Demand Data
    Sep 22~Sep30+Oct+Nov+Dec (2003)= 188+916+882+914= 2900

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes. But looks like they have not updated the Demand Data for Jan 1, 2004 numbers. So, I am assuming you should be current in Jan 2014 bulletin.

      Delete
    2. Thanks !! for your reply

      Delete
  11. my priority date is Jan 2010, any idea when my PD will become current, so that i can file 485.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Current trend is about 6 years from your priority date to get GC for EB2 India.

      Delete
  12. Hi, my husband's company applied under EB2. Our dates were 2008 May. He got his green card yesterday but I have not received any nor have I seen any status updates. Since I am not a primary applicant am I considered as EB2 category or family based? Is my priority date also May 2008? Up till now both our EADs AP etc were processed at the same time. When can I expect to get the GC? Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You should be EB2 if you applied as your husband's dependent. You should get soon assuming you both applied for I-485 at the same time. If you don't get any update by the end of next week, please do call USCIS and check what is happening. You can also contact your local congressman or senator and see if they can check your case.

      Delete
  13. The above article says, "Third, they indicate that whoever didn't get the Green Card for FY 13 and the date is current, will likely get it this month if everything is good." - Where was this mentioned on the demand data?

    Is the above statement based on the following paragraph in the demand data?

    "The FY 2013 Employment annual limits were reached prior to the end of September, and no further allocation
    of numbers was possible after that time. Offices continued to process Employment cases, submitted them in
    the normal manner, and such cases were then held in the Visa Office’s “Pending Demand” file. All eligible
    cases were then allocated Employment-based numbers on October 1, 2013, under the FY 2014 annual limits. "

    ReplyDelete
  14. If the FY13 spillover has been applied to FY14 then does that mean that we will not see any movement at the end of the year this time?
    My priority date is April 09 EB2 India and I was hoping to see the GC by end of FY14 - does this way of utilizing spillover make it highly unlikely unless they still to this format and use FY14 spillover for beginning of FY15?
    Thanks you for all the analysis ... much cleaner than lawyer talk.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hopefully you will be current during August 2014 or earlier.

      Delete
  15. my pd is March 2011? When will I be current.-EB3 ROW?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is hard to tell. At this point DOS demand data indicates, the dates might retrogress.

      Delete
  16. Ambals, My PD is Aug21 2008, when do you anticipate to be current ? any Idea

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Current trend is 6 years from your priority date to get GC for EB2 India.

      Delete
  17. Aug 21 2008, EB2-I

    ReplyDelete
  18. My PD is Jan 2011..Any Idea when will it be current according to the new Demand Data.??? EB2 India

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Current trend is about 6 years from your priority date for EB2 India.

      Delete
  19. Thanks ambals for analysis. Our pd was dec 2007 . Received our gc this week.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi, So did you apply on Aug 1st for 485 and you got the green card on oct 11th? So it took you 3 months and 11 days? Thanks.

      Delete
    2. Sorry, you got it in 2 months and 11 days if you applied for 485 in aug 1st

      Delete
    3. We applied in the last week of aug2013. Finger in 2week of oct... GC in the last week.

      Delete
    4. My PD is also Dec 2007. My FP is on Oct 15. But i haven't received the EAD even till now :(
      Any chances of getting GC soon?? Did you finish your finger printing in second week and got GC the same week???

      Delete
    5. Sorry *fingerprints in the 2nd week of Sep and we recieved GC in 2nd week of Oct..

      Delete
    6. Thanks for the reply @Anonymous. Here is my situation:

      We got our EAD today (however approved on oct 8th according to the uscis webpage). Our fingerpriniting got done on Oct 9th and the 485 was was accepted by uscis on sep 6th (Submitted to them on sep 3rd).

      According to the nov bulletin my priority date is still current (mar 2008). Is there any chance for me to get the greencard before nov end? Thanks.

      Delete
    7. How much was your difference in EAD received date and final GC date. I am also having PD of Dec 2007. But not EAD in sight. Filed on Sep 18, FP done on Oct 15.

      Delete
    8. We did an early walkin for the finger printing...i.e we recieved notice around sep14and given fp ariund sep16...no wait
      ... diff of dates between ead and gc was 1week...
      pd:dec2007
      filed:aug 27
      Fp:sep16(early walkin)
      Ead :oct1st week
      gc :2week

      Delete
  20. What is the difference between invenory data and Demand data? And how do those numbers affect EB2 India? Inventory data was last released in July 2013 and DOS released the latest demand data earlier this week. Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes. I am hoping they will release a new I-485 pending inventory data this month. That will help us.
      I-485 pending inventory data is the one released by USCIS and it gives the actual number of I-485 applications pending. Demand Data is released by DOS and it gives the list of I-485 for which visa number has been assigned.

      Delete
  21. How about the unused visas from FY13 quota for EB4,EB5,EW,E1. This spillover should be applied to EB2 which effectively advances cut-off date for EB2 India until the cut-off date matches that of EB2 China. Which month of FY14, will this spillover be applied to EB2-India?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It depends on DOS/USCIS. They can decide to apply every month or every quarter. Typically they will get a better understanding only in last 3 months and more importantly in the last month.

      Delete
  22. The interesting thing is this, all the scenarios are good for someone and bad for someone. Here is what people with different PDs would be hoping:
    1. Jan 2004 - Dec 2006: Ideally they might want dates to retrogress to Dec 2006. This would give them a much better change of getting GC as they do not have to worry about 2007,2008 guys getting ahead of them and taking away their chance.
    2. Jan 2007 - Jun 2008: They are hoping dates stay as they are today. Most likely a retrogression might take them out of the picture and hence they might want dates to stay where they are.
    3. Jun 2008 - Oct 2008: They would be hoping that the dates move forward and they at least get a chance.
    4. Oct 2008 - Feb 2009: They know their dates wont be current soon. They are hoping it retrogresses to 2005/2006. This would translate to less porting and hence less people in from of them in the queue. Eventually it gives them a better shot during Aug/Sep 2014.
    5. Mar 2009 onwards: Just hoping that dates move forward. So they at least get a chance to hope. Frankly these people would be more concentrating on CIR then visa bulletin.

    ReplyDelete
  23. Hello..My PD is MAR 2007( Philippines). I am under H1B now and will expire Oct 2014. Do you think my EB3 will be processed then? Until what month will I have to give it a chance before I have to apply for an H1B renewal? Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hopefully, you should become current in Feb 2014 and it should be processed that month.

      Delete
  24. Hi,

    Finally porting from eb3 to eb2 got approved last week and my PD is Feb-2007, ready to file 485 , AP and EAD in coming week.....Any idea how long it will take to get EAD, AP and GC?

    Regards,

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi, can you share the timeline for your eb3 to eb2 approval? when was the EB2 PERM applied & when was it approved? same thing about I-140.

      Delete
    2. Hey, It almost took an year for EB2 PERM to get approved @ June-2013 (btw there was an RFE on it), while 140 porting got approved in a month.


      Regards,

      Delete
    3. EAD and AP -- 60 days. GC -- 90 days assuming date is still current.

      Delete
  25. Hi Ambals...I am an ardent follower of your blog...Thanks a lot for you analysis...Question for you...

    I am a first time filer...EB2I...My PD is May 28th 2008...Filed for EAD and AP on September 3rd...Got my FP done on Oct 1st...When do you think I will get my EAD and AP?

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Typically it will take 60 days. But, now it is much faster.

      Delete
  26. Hello Ambals, for great analysis. My PD is Sep 2008. When do you think it will be current? Are there any chances of it becoming current before end of this year?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Current trend is about 6 years from your priority date for EB2 India.

      Delete
    2. If it is EB2 India, hopefully, July 2014.

      Delete
  27. Thanks for analyzing and making it simple and straight.

    ReplyDelete
  28. Hello Ambals, for great analysis. My PD is Jan 2012. When do you think it will be current?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Current trend is about 6 years from your priority date for EB2 India.

      Delete
  29. For some reason..visiting this space gives a relief for the unending wait..Thanks a ton for helping all of us and having hope..

    ReplyDelete
  30. Hi Ambals,
    Inventory Data and Demand Data will be in Sync with each other once its out or whether inventory data for pending I-485 includes dependents also?
    I see total 43000(EB2)+41000(EB3)=84000 applications pending with USCIS in the inventory data before April 2010 but on demand data it shows total of 60000 for both till 2013. So it means that many candidates(around 24000) are clared and dates will move a lot faster. if its true we can assume that these 60000 will be processed in next 3 years at current pace.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I-485 pending application gives the actual number of applications filed. Demand data is for only for those who the visa number is assigned.

      Delete
  31. Hi Ambals. Good analysis every time! This is off topic but I was curious. Do you know how many visitors you get each month to your site? It seems to picking up a good amount of viewership. Helps provide clarity to the process. Good job :)

    ReplyDelete
  32. MY PD is May 2008. I have my EAD and AP for almost 18 months. When should I expect my GC.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If you are in EB2 India, you should call USCIS and check the status on your application.

      Delete
    2. I called USCIS and they responded after 2 weeks via snail mail by saying that they can not tell the date of I 485 adjudication. Do I need to contact Senators office?

      Delete
  33. HI , My PD is SEP 08 2004 EB3 . When do you think dates would be current for this PD ??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. As per July 2013 I-485 pending inventory data, it will be another 4 years for EB3 India. With new data and more porting, I think it will be much faster.

      Delete
  34. Ambals,

    My wife and I finally got greened today. I have been an avid follower of your blogs, and they have been tremendously helpful to maintain hope and sanity during the roller-coaster ride. You have been doing an invaluable service, and I applaud and thank you for work.
    In case anyone is interested, here are my details:
    Aug 1, 2013 first-time filer
    EB2-India
    NSC
    PD: 11/2007
    RD: 08/01/2013
    FP: 09/2013 (had to do early walk-in because of travel plans, H1B situation)
    Approved: 10/15/2013

    ReplyDelete
  35. Hello Ambal, quick question

    ReplyDelete
  36. Hi Ambal,

    I'm a good follower of your blog. I have a question for you.

    Let's assume that the house passes some sort of immigration bills and then those go to conference and say a bill mostly the senate version gets approved in the conference in Dec 2013. When will the changes like Country cap removals come in to effect? In the same month or October 2014? Please let me know. Thanks in advance!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. As per the current bill, everything starts on 1 Oct 2014.

      Delete
    2. So does that mean in a very optimistic situation, my PD which is Nov-2011 will be current by October 2014?

      Thanks for letting me know!

      Delete
    3. Do you think of any chances of getting passed by house this year?

      Delete
    4. One related question, let's say the CIR gets passed in next summer say July-Aug(2014), even then the changes will come in effect as of Oct, 2014 or is there any chance to get pushed to Oct 2015 if it gets delayed more?

      Thanks!

      Delete
  37. My pd is May 2004 EB3 India when do you think my PD become current??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. As per July I-485 pending inventory data, it will take another 2.5 years. I am hoping with porting, it might be cut the time to half.

      Delete
  38. Hi Ambals, thanks for your analysis. I need your prediction on EB3 to EB2 upgrade.

    My EB3 PD is Jan 2008. Recently applied for EB2 PERM in Jan-2013 (no employer change) and it's been almost 10months without any significant movement in application processing.

    - Is my EB2 PERM application different from any fresh (1st time applicant) PERM application?
    - Is there any good explanation for why it is taking so long to process the PERM application? And do you have any estimate on when it would be processed by for me to move on with I-140 & 485 (with EB2 date being current, I suppose I can apply both at the same time)? Last time I recall, it took less than 3 months for my EB3 PERM (2008).

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. EB2 PERM is no different. It is taking so long because of sequestration and govt shutdowns that has reduced the Labor department staff and thus increasing backlog and time of processing.

      Delete
  39. Hi Ambals, thans for the analysis.
    I am new in the queue with eb2 pd nov 2011, can anyone explain what is first time filer means?
    Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is more reference for folks whose priority date has become current earlier, they missed it and now filing I-485 for the first time.

      Delete
  40. Hello Ambals, I want to let you know that we received the CPO email today. I have reached out few times about my March 2005 EB3-EB2 convert and you indeed forecasted that October is the month! I want to sincerly appreciate your work here and wish the best for other folks that are waiting ...

    ReplyDelete
  41. Hi Ambals,

    Thanks for maintaining this blog and for all your comments. This is very useful. We got our EAD today (however approved on oct 8th according to the uscis webpage). Our fingerpriniting got done on Oct 9th and the 485 was was accepted by uscis on sep 6th (Submitted to them on sep 3rd).

    According to the nov bulletin my priority date is still current (mar 2008). Is there any chance for me to get the greencard before nov end? Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
  42. Hi Ambals,
    Thanks for all your write ups . This was my to-go place for all the GC related information for past many years . I finally got my GC in the mail yesterday . Keep up the good work!

    ReplyDelete
  43. I am a keen follower of your blogs..they have been very helpfulI. Thank you very much for your great service.
    My case is mentioned below.

    Aug 1, 2013 first-time filer
    EB2-India
    NSC
    PD: 11/2007
    I485 RD: 08/05/2013
    FP: 09/10/2013
    Ead Approved: 09/12/2013

    When can I expect the GC? My i485 is still showing initial review status. Is it good to raise an e-request requesting the status of 485 processing? Will raising an request speed up processing.?

    Once again thank you for all your help!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Congrats on ead... generally it takes 1month for the fingerprints processing... but u never know they may be processing bit faster tooo...

      Delete
    2. Yes. Please do call USCIS and check.

      Delete
  44. Hi Ambals,

    My husband has a priority date of 3/11/11 on an EB3 worldwide classification (there is cross-chargeability as he is using my country of birth to fit under the EB3 worldwide category).

    Are we likely to become current by March 2014 as per the November visa bulletin?

    I would appreciate a response from your end. Thanks for all the great info!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Possible. But, as per Demand Data, it might retrogress back.

      Delete
  45. My case is mentioned below.

    Sep 1, 2013 - First Time
    EB2-India
    Texas Service Center
    PD: May 28th 2008
    I765 - Approved on October 19th
    I131 - Approved on October 19th
    FP - Done on October 1st

    My wife's status is still in initial review...Could you please let me know whether this is normal procedure?

    If the date stays at June 1008 for the next 3 months then is it possible for me to get my GC?

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If you both have filed I-485 together, everything should go pretty much together. Please do call USCIS and check.
      Yes. If the date stays current for next 3 months, you will get your GC by then.

      Delete
  46. Any chance of EB3 India pd will move to Sep 2004????? Thanks in advance Ambal for your inputs

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. As per July 2013 I-485 pending inventory, it will take another 4 years. But, with porting, I am hoping it will be much sooner.

      Delete
  47. Hi, My PD is 01/Jul/2010 with Emp A. Now I am interested in taking up a offer from Emp B and they said they will be able to initiate my PERM only after 2 Years which will be close to Jan'2016. Is it advisable to take that offer?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I don't think so.
      But, please do describe your exact scenario to an immigration lawyer and get his opinion as well.

      Delete
  48. Current status : EB3-India
    Priority Date : 04/20/2004
    I485 filled in Jul 2007

    New PERM approved on EB2 in Sep 2013. Planning to apply I-140 in premium process with interfilling request for current I-485.

    How much time do you thing it might take to get GC assuming I-140 is approved.


    How much time do

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If the I-140 is approved, it should be soon. Make sure you file interfile letter along with I-140 premium application. You get your GC within 30 days.

      Delete
    2. How long did perm approval for EB2 take?

      Delete
  49. I-140 approved eb2 July 2 2009. Any guesstimate on when my date will become current? FY 2015?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. For EB2 India, there is a possibility around August 2014.

      Delete
    2. Thank you very much for the response. You guys are helping good. Please keep going !!

      Delete
  50. Ours is in EB3 category and PD is January 10,2007. When should we expect our GC approved. I140 and 485 was filled concurrent in July 2007!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If it is EB3 India, it is a very long wait.

      Delete
    2. I am EB3 India march 2005. Any idea when that will get current. its been a long wait since july 2007.

      Delete
  51. Hi Ambals, Thank you for your great work.

    I-485 Notice Date - Aug 20, 2013
    Category - EB2-India
    Nebraska Service Center
    PD - Dec 26, 2006
    I765 - Approved on October 16th
    I131 - Approved on October 16th
    FP - Completed on October 3rd

    I have two questions to ask.

    1. When do you think my GC would get approved?
    2. My i-485 has been on "ACCEPTANCE" status all along. Do you think this is a concern? Should I be contacting USCIS regarding this?

    I'd really appreciate your input on this. Thanks again.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can surely check with USCIS. From few responses above, it looks around 30 days from FP, the GC are getting cleared. So, by November end, you should get it.

      Delete
  52. Hi Ambal, Thanks for your work.

    I have a general question. Suppose if my PD become current and lets assume the dates won't retrogress at all, how much max time will I have to file my I-485? I'm thinking to shift job, so I'm asking.

    Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. As long as your PD is current for a particular month, you can file your I-485 till the last day of that month.

      Delete
    2. My question is actually this: suppose my PD became current this month, can I apply for I-480 using my old priority date from my new employer say after 6 months from now assuming the dates won't retrogress. My worry is it might take a good 2 years to finish up the I-140 from my new employer.

      Thanks in advance!

      Delete
    3. I think it is better to explain your situation to an immigration lawyer and get his opinion.

      Delete
  53. Hello,

    Is a demand data of 2900 for eb3 India the same as I 485 inventory upto 1/1/2004, since almost all the cases are adjudicated. When do you see eb3 india moving forward.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I was expecting it to move this month. It didn't. Hopefully from next Visa Bulletin, December 2013.

      Delete
  54. http://www.cilawgroup.com/news/2013/10/23/visa-bulletin-predictions-and-updates-from-charles-oppenheim-major-retrogression-in-eb-2-india-october-23-2013/?utm_source=Capitol+Immigration+Law+Group+Newsletter&utm_campaign=319b781e3a-Weekly_Newsletter_Oct_24_2013&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_1074141ca5-319b781e3a-390846169

    ReplyDelete
  55. Hi Ambals,

    Thank you for all your analysis and its one stop place for me to see EB2 India progress and predictions very clearly. My Priority date is Feb 10 2009. Do I stand a chance to get my GC in 2014? which month and what percentage chance will I have this time. Thanks for all your help

    ReplyDelete
  56. Ambals ..

    I wish your prediction came true but per the below link, dates are going to retrogress big time for EB2I

    http://www.cilawgroup.com/news/2013/10/23/visa-bulletin-predictions-and-updates-from-charles-oppenheim-major-retrogression-in-eb-2-india-october-23-2013/

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Unfortunately, yes. Other law firms are also confirming that.

      Delete
  57. Hi Ambals,

    Thank you for all your analysis and its one stop place for me to see EB2 India progress and predictions very clearly. My Priority date is Feb 10 2009. Do I stand a chance to get my GC in 2014? which month and what percentage chance will I have this time. Thanks for all your help

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There is a possibility around August 2014.

      Delete
    2. Thank you Ambals. Lets hope for the best

      Delete
  58. I am EB3 India march 2005. Any idea when that will get current. its been a long wait since july 2007.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Totally depends on porting. At this point it looks like atleast another 2 years.

      Delete
  59. Has anyone seen this before...
    Oct 19th is the first time I received a note saying that my EAD was approved…Then on Oct 21st I received the same note saying the card was approved…On 24th morning received a note saying that the card production is in progress…On 24th evening received a note saying that USPS got the notice and I was able to track the card that it was in Kentucky but did not note down the USPS number…Yesterday night I got a note which was the same as Oct 19th…Just a bit confused…

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I think you will get you EAD by next friday. Please don't put too much analysis into status changes.

      Delete
  60. Notice date: sept 23rd
    Fingering: oct 18th
    Eb2 india 1st timer:
    PD: may 1st 08
    When to expect gc

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hopefully by the end of November.

      Delete
    2. Thanks ambals.
      Is there any possibilty tht my 485 might be approved even if dates retrogate in dec?

      Delete
  61. Murthy said that EB2 India is going to retrogress In December 2013 to 2004. Any updates? Also, anything on EB3 India?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes. It is confirmed by other law firm websites as well. Interestingly they say EB3 will stay the same.

      Delete
  62. hi Ambal,

    When do you think I will receive the green card? Here are the facts -

    I-485 application USCIS receipt date: 8/9/2013
    EB2 India Priority Date: 10/15/2007
    Fingerprint Date: 9/24/2013
    Nebraska Service Center
    I-765 - Approved on 9/14/2013
    I-131 - Approved on 9/14/2013

    Thank you very much!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You should get soon. You can call USCIS and check the status. You can also contact your local congressman or Senator and ask their office to check the status for you.

      Delete
    2. Ambal, I called USCIS yesterday and was told that the typical processing for NSC is 4 months and I'm only 2 months into my application. Bottom line, I was told to wait.

      Should I frame my question to USCIS in particular way?

      My concern is the dates will retrogress in December and my application processing may stop as it enters into the 4th month period.

      Delete
    3. Then, You should try your local congressman or Senator's office.

      Delete
  63. Hello

    Here are my details
    EB2I
    Notice date - Sept 9, 2013
    Finger printing 10/10
    EAD and AP approved
    Center - NSC

    Do you realistically think that my I485 will be approved based on historical and current trends ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes. There is still possibility to get by end of November 2013.

      Delete
  64. Hi,

    Have submitted 485 on 17-Oct-2013, is it possible to get EAD and AP, before the next visa bulletin retrogresses?

    Regards,

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes. EAD/AP doesn't fall under visa bulletin date. Once 485 filed you will get EAD/AP

      Delete
    2. If your application is good, within 60 days, you should get EAD and AP irrespective of the dates.

      Delete
  65. I am EB3 India April, 2004. Can you give an insight that when it may become current?. It is a long wait for me since July 2007.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. As per July 2013, I-485 pending inventory, there are about 6000 applicants in front of you. At this rate, another 2 years. Hopefully there is will be some porting and you can get sooner.

      Delete
  66. Hi Ambals - my pd is aug 2006 india eb2. I485 filed on aug 8, fingerinting done on sep 10, EAD received on sep 22. I485 status is still showing Acceptance. Do you think it is advisable to contact USCIS for a status update or should I wait until Nov.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You should contact USCIS now. You should also try through local congressman or senator's office.

      Delete
  67. My PD is 15/Oct/2012 EB2,got my approval paper in July 2013, got my second paper in August,waiting on my interview paper to relase,do u no how long will they take to send my interview paper?plz help

    ReplyDelete
  68. Will I be able to get my visa for next month

    ReplyDelete
  69. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  70. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. This comment has been removed by the author.

      Delete
    2. This comment has been removed by the author.

      Delete
    3. If your application is Employment Based, try this link for information -- http://www.trackitt.com/usa-discussion-forums/aos-interview-eb
      If your application is Family Based, try this link for more information -- http://www.trackitt.com/usa-discussion-forums/aos-interview-fb

      Delete
  71. Which link refers to EB2,I don't no which to use

    ReplyDelete
  72. Hi Ambals,
    My PD is Oct 2010. I understand from your blog that the current trend is 6 years from PD date. Does that means till i get the GC or EAD or that it will get current in Oct 2016. Generally how much time does it take between the EAD and GC. Also are there any chances that the 6years trend will change.
    Will appreciate your response. Regards.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is hard to predict the EAD. Current trend is 6 years.

      Delete
  73. Hi Ambals,

    According to CO eb3 India will retrogress. Then again according to him the demand data is 2900 until 1/1/04. He is contracting his own statement cause if the dd is really 2900 the shouldn't the dates move forward in the near term. Sir, what is your take on this.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I am confused as well. I thought it will move from october bulletin. But, it is staying the same. Let us wait and see.

      Delete
  74. my PD is 22 jan 2004 EB3 any idea when can i become current..thanks much in advance

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I was hoping very soon. But, DOS is indicating it might retrogress the date and bring it back. So, we need to wait and watch.

      Delete
  75. Hi Ambals,

    My i140 was approved under eb3 and PD was Nov 2008. But I left my employer so he had revoked my i140. Now after 3 years I am joining my employer again. Now I am eligible for EB2. What steps need to be followed and how much time will take for me to get GC?

    Thanks in advance.

    Regards,
    Afroze Mohammed

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You have to pretty much start from beginning from labor to ads to LC to I140 to I485. Labor is taking about 8 months now.

      Delete
  76. Hi Ambals,

    I am worried if I would receive GC before dates retrogress in december visa bulletin. For us process has been slow, since USCIS intially messed with our EB2 i-140, they deleted EB2 i-140 instead of EB3 i-140 in the porting process.
    We see that people with our kind of dates have already received their GC.
    Here are my dates - Do you think I would receive GC before dates get retrogressed?

    PD : Dec 12th 2007
    Filed : Sept 1st 2013 - couldnt file in Aug, since it took time for USCIS to correct their porting mistake.
    FP: Oct 1st 2013
    EAD/AP: approval Oct 22 2013
    Texas service center

    do you think we will receive GC atleast by nov end?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I think you will get by nov end.

      From your side, please do USCIS and also check with your local congressman or senator's office to check your application status.

      Delete
    2. Hi Ambals,

      I have been reading in this blog to contact USCIS or contact locate congressman. But I am not sure how to contact local congressman. Is there a specific letter template to write?

      Delete
    3. Which state are you from ?

      Delete
    4. Texas. And application is in Texas Service Center

      Delete
    5. Check -- Senator John Cornyn's website -- http://www.cornyn.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?p=Forms
      There is an immigration privacy release form. Download fill it and fax it along with a letter requesting them to check your status. In the letter give your I-485 and your dependents I-485 numbers, A number, priority date and other relevant details.

      Delete
    6. THanks for the informaiton Ambals.
      I will try the above method and see how it goes.

      Thanks

      Delete
    7. Hi Ambals. I am in California and my case is in Nabraska. my PD is Sept 2007, RD is Aug 7 2013, got EAD/AP. When should I call local officer (before 120 days too?) and please let me know any link.

      Delete
  77. Hi Ambals,
    Our priority date is April 30 2008. Biometrics appointment is on Nov 4 , 2013. When will we get our green card?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Very hard to tell. If the dates are still current in December. If not, whenever it becomes current again -- say, July 2014.

      Delete
  78. Is there any chance for the PD(EB2I) to remain the same during Dec 2013.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. As of now, very very little chance. Lot of law firms have confirmed that DOS is going to retrogress the dates back to 2004 or early 2005 for EB2 India.

      Delete
  79. Ambals,
    It is clear from the recent reports that the EB2I dates are going to retrogress. This is not a total surprise to me since this has been their strategy in the past year. What do you think/feel will happen as far as EB2I goes as approach fall of 2014? Your opinion will be much appreciated.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Looks like they are going to retrogress now and move it again in July 2014.

      Delete
  80. HI Ambals,
    We finally got our Green cards last week.
    Thank you so much for your insights into the process.
    Your blog has always been a beacon of hope in an otherwise
    demoralizing and dreary wait for this.
    Thanks so much for the blog and Good Luck all those who've been waiting all these years

    ReplyDelete
  81. Hi Ambals,

    We really appreciate for your great work. My PD is December 18th 2007. We applied on August 12. Got EAD and AP. Will I get GC given dates are going to retro. Please let me know.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I think you will get by nov end.

      From your side, please do call USCIS and also check with your local congressman or senator's office to check your application status.

      Delete
  82. Sorry to be silly and hate to ask this question but I cannot resist, my case is EB2 India Priority date Feb 2008. Notice date 09/24, had FP appointment on 10/28. Any chance of getting GC this year?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There is a very little chance to get by end of November. If not, mostly July 2014.

      Delete
  83. Hi Ambals, My PD is sept 2007 and RD is Aug 7,2013. I had FP on 9/25/2013 . What is possibility of getting green and when. Please give your comments.

    ReplyDelete
  84. Hi, my PD is July 2009 EB2I. When do you see my dates becoming current with the new Eb2I retrogression strategy? Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  85. Pd may 2nd 2008. Eb2i.
    Notice date::09/23/2013.
    Fp: 10/18/2013.

    What are chances of getting gc this year.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Still possible in November. If not, mostly July 2014.

      Delete