Tuesday, July 8, 2014

August 2014 Visa Bulletin and Analysis


August 2014 Visa Bulletin was released earlier today. 

EB2:

Date for EB2 India moved from 01 SEP 08 to 22 JAN 09 and EB2 China from 22 JUL 09 to 08 OCT 09. The cut-off for all other EB2 countries are Current.

Good News !!! EB2 India and EB2 China keeps moving forward.

If you are becoming current in August and if you are going to file I-485, please make sure to contact your immigration lawyer now and get the relevant documents.

If you are waiting to file I-485, please use this opportunity to gather all the documents and keep it in place:

EB3:

Cut-off dates for EB3 India from 01 NOV 03 to 08 NOV 03 and EB3 Philippines from 01 JAN 09 to 01 JUN 10 and EB3 China from 01 OCT 06 to 01 NOV 08 and all other countries it stays at 01 APR 11.

Good news here is EB3 India date has moved 1 week, EB3 Philippines date has moved more than a year and EB3 China has also move more than an year..

I-485 Pending inventory:

Current I-485 inventory shows data till 1 APR 2014. For EB2 India, there are 31,187 pending applications, whose priority is before 01 MAY 2010. For EB3 India, it is 30,992 applicants before 01 SEPT 2007 Priority date. 

The new inventory should come sometime this month. We will keep you posted on that.

What to Expect Next Few Months:

For EB3 India - I am hoping it will move 2 weeks every Visa Bulletin, at the very least one week.

For EB2 India,

My calculation says, it will move to 01 MAR 09 in Sept 2014 Visa Bulletin. There are few law firms that say, it might move as much as 01 SEP 09. We have to wait and watch. Of-course, more the merrier.

Then, the next question is what might happen after that.

Last year the dates for EB2 India was like this:
Jul 2013 -- 01SEP04
Aug 2013 -- 01JAN08
Sep 2013 -- 15JUN08
Oct 2013 -- 15JUN08
Nov 2013 -- 15JUN08
Dec 2013 -- 15NOV04

I expect pretty much the same. The dates will move till Sept VB. Then, stay put for one month or two months. Then, retrogress back. I think it will retrogress again to say, 15 DEC 04 in November 2014 Visa Bulletin. It totally depends on what strategy DOS wants to follow this time.

Links:

You can see the official August 2014 Visa Bulletin here - http://travel.state.gov/content/visas/english/law-and-policy/bulletin/2014/visa-bulletin-for-august-2014.html

You can see the official I-485 pending inventory Data here - 
http://www.uscis.gov/green-card/green-card-through-job/previous-pending-employment-based-i-485-inventory/pending-employment-based-i-485-inventory

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262 comments:

  1. Hi Ambal,

    My PD is 30Oct2008, I got a REF recently to submit new medical records and employment details.

    Do you think I will get GC this year?

    Thank you!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes. If you have responded by now, and if it is satisfactory to them, there is very good chance.

      Delete
  2. Hi. Our PD is sep 3 2008. We sent response to RFE including physical by CS and documents last month and was received by USCIS on June 16. Our finger printing was done in March 2012. Would we need to be finger printed again. And if so what are the chances that we will get a greencard this time. Last time it took them 2 mo to make appointment for finger prints and likely internal retrogression would set in by then. Thanks for your help!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hopefully, no more extra finger printing.

      Delete
  3. Ambals, My PD(dec -17-2008) became current in EB2 india, what are the chances of getting GC in hand this year (2014)?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Ambals, I forgot to mention, I am the first time filer, do you still think my chances are high? You have been pretty helpfull to people like us, much appreciated for your time and efforts.

      Delete
    2. Ambals, your website is awesome. Your time is highly appreciated.

      I am in the same boat as the above poster and have the exact same question. My PD is Dec 1st week 2008 and i missed the boat last time. So i will be a first time filer for both EAD and I-485 this time. What the our chances of gettin GC this year with the assumption that dates will stay current till Nov bulletin?

      Delete
    3. Assuming dates stay the same till November, assuming you are not getting any RFE, the chances are still pretty high. With these assumptions, typically GC stood come in 90 days from the date of filing.

      Delete
    4. Thanks Ambals. One another questions. My attorney is recommending that we file the I-485 without the medicals right now and can provide the medicals when we get RFE (this is with assumption that dates will retrogress anyway and it is best to provide medicals just once). if we do that: can it potentially lead to rejection? And assuming dates retrogress to next year, without medicals will they give EAD this year?

      Delete
  4. Can you please help me understand why would the dates retrogress back to 15DEC04? Also what is the rationale behind this specific date (i.e. why not DEC05 or DEC07)
    Sorry, I am very much new to following this information, and request your help in understanding this.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. That is match the demand of porting cases from EB3 to EB2. with out the unused visas from other categories, EB2 quota for India every year would just be enough for porting cases from EB3 to EB2 before DEC05 or what ever the date is set to.

      Delete
    2. Thanks but not following you.. Can someone explain this with examples/ previous year scenarios?

      Delete
    3. The dates can retrogress to anything, depending on DOS strategy.
      They can give only about 230 GCs under EB2 India till they know for sure the spillovers (Assume, October to June). Typically, they watch the porting during October and decide which way to go and how much.

      Delete
    4. I read somewhere (possibly on one of your blog posts) that spillover to EB2 retrogressed category goes to India first and then to China. If true then how would China move to October 2009 when India is still at January 2009? Should't USCIS make them equal first and then move them together?

      Delete
  5. Hi Ambala ,

    My PD is January 7th 2009 . What are the chances to get GC this Year ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If there is no more queries, you should get in august. Assuming your PD is in EB2 India.

      Delete
  6. My pd is jan 13 09 and i have not received any rfe yet. Do you think i will get my GC in august?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If there is no more queries, you should get in august. Assuming your PD is in EB2 India.

      Delete
  7. My PD is Feb 27, 2009. Do you see any chances of it becoming current in the next bulletin?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I am still hoping it will move to 01 Mar 09 next VB.

      Delete
  8. I am curious to know if EB3 India ever reached Sep 2007 to have the I-485 inventory. Unless I totally misunderstood the definition of I-485 inventory.

    ReplyDelete
  9. Hi Ambals,

    Thanks for the blog, Great work. You have expertise on this subject.

    My Priority is Feb 24th 2009. Is it certain that the date progresses to Mar 1st 2009? If not I would need to file H1 extension as I need H4 for spouse.

    I have already responded to Medical RFE earlier. Please let me know.

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No matter what, my suggestion is you should renew you h1. As always, please do consult a good immigration lawyer.

      Delete
  10. Hi Ambals,
    My PD is late 2006(EB2). 140 was also approved in '07. I filed for 485 in nov'13 without completing medical and later got an RFE for medical which was sent back end of may. From then on i only see the status of rfe response under review.

    when would i be getting gc?
    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can call USCIS and check your application status.

      Delete
    2. thanks i got a link from your blog on where to call as well, but should i insist on talking to a l2 officer.

      thanks again

      Delete
    3. Got my GC. Just wanted to thank you for this website and all your replies( it must take a lot of time and patience). I am glad I discovered your website and referred only to this for the past 6 months. In the past 2 weeks, i tried couple of more sites and experience wasnt great at all( lot of rumor mongering/ not so professional forums..). So your services helps people like us all the more.

      Delete
  11. Hi Ambals, Based in the trends observed in the last few months could you please give a prediction for an EB2 India PD of May 2012. Appreciate any insight. Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Current trend is about 6 years from your PD for EB2 India to get your GC.

      Delete
  12. Any predictions for July 2009??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. My prediction is, it will be next year. But, some lawfirm websites say, it will be next visa bulletin.

      Delete
  13. Hi Ambals, When will Oct 2010 become current?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. When the EB2 India dates comes closer to May 2010, they will open it up to get more I-485 inventory. We need to wait and watch how far it goes this year and they we can make a reasonable predictions.

      Delete
  14. Hi Ambals! My priority date is Jan 2008 and I filed my I-485 on July 1. Do you think I can get my GC this year? Also, if someone having a priority date later than Jan 2008 (e.g. March 2008) filed I-485 last year, which application would USCIS look first (my application or March 2008 application) assuming the person who filed last year already has got an EAD. Thanks for your help

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If there are no queries, then I am hoping you will get in 90 days.

      Delete
  15. Any predictions for March 21 2009?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I think it will go to 01 Mar 09 next VB for EB2 India, few other websites say, it can go as late as 01 Sep 09.

      Delete
    2. Can you please specify which other websites?

      Delete
  16. Hi Ambals,
    My pd is 7/7/2011. How long it will take based on current trend?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Current trend to get GC for EB2 India is about 6 years.
      When EB2 India date comes closer to May 2010, I expect they will open it up to get I-485 inventory. We need to wait and see how far it goes this year, then we can make some calculations.

      Delete
  17. Hello Ambals,
    I am in the process of switching jobs...not currently employed. I would be signing a contract in the next few days and darting by mid or late August.
    I have received RFE for medical and EVL which states to provide the date when I started the current job. What should I do?
    My EB2 GC was filed in March/2009 and based on all the predictions I think the date will be current next month.
    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is best to contact a good immigration lawyer and tell your specific case and ask for legal help.

      Delete
  18. Hi Ambals,

    Thanks for great blog, quick question, my priority date is current for the first time and planning my medicals next week, I might change my current residence soon and don't want to get into delivery issues later, do you see any issues keeping my relative address as communication and Permanent address in 485, Medicals and other forms. ? my attorney is out of country until few days and may not get required information before my medicals, please advise.

    ReplyDelete
  19. Hi Ambals

    After submitting the green card documents to USCIS ,can you please explain what to expect from USCIS and the approx time frame ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Best place is to see trackitt.com -- there are many folks updating their timeline for each of them -- EAD/AP, I-485, GC card....

      Delete
  20. Hi Ambals,

    Appreciate your blog. My PD is March 12, 2009. As per your prediction, if it moves to March 01, 2009 on September VB will I be still eligible to get my GC even though my pd is March 12, 2009?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You will be eligible if the date goes 13 MAR 09 or later.

      Delete
  21. Hi Ambals,

    My priority date is 28th April , 2010.
    When do you think this date would become current?

    Thanks,
    Vamsi

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Current trend to get GC for EB2 India is about 6 years.
      When EB2 India date comes closer to May 2010, I expect they will open it up to get I-485 inventory. We need to wait and see how far it goes this year, then we can make some calculations.

      Delete
  22. Hello Ambal,

    PD 11-Sept-2008- EB2; Current in August 2014
    Original I-485 filed date: Feb 2012
    BC RFE recd but PD retrogressed before response to RFE was accepted
    Medical RFE recd in May and responded to USCIS with updated medicals on 16 June.

    Will any GC approvals for all those 2008 PD cases in July 2014 bulletin impact my GC approval?

    Chances of GC this time? And when?
    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If everything in your application is acceptable to USCIS at this time, then you should get this month.

      Delete
  23. Hi ambals

    Can you tell me the prediction for march 2010 ? Will that become current this year or next yr?

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Current trend to get GC for EB2 India is about 6 years.
      We need to wait and see how far it goes this year, then we can make some calculations.

      Delete
  24. Any prediction for march 2010?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. most probably, in 2016

      Delete
  25. Hi Ambals,

    I don't have a Birth Certificate. I have a notarized birth affidavit from my Father and Mother. Would this suffice for the I-485 process?

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I don't think so.
      Please do check with your immigration lawyer to be sure.

      Delete
  26. Hello,
    My EB2 PD is May 2008. I am a first time filer and I filed I-485 during first week of July, 2014. I am trying to figure out my chances to get GC this year. It is very likely that the dates will retrogress starting next fiscal year but could you tell me when are you predicting that will happen? Will it happen right away in Oct 2014 or in later months?

    Also I read above that you are predicting "typically GC should come in 90 days from the date of filing.". But the USCIS is predicting typical processing time as 4 months here: https://egov.uscis.gov/cris/processTimesDisplay.do. Do people get their GC in 90 days if they don't receive RFE? Is USCIS data is outdated?

    Thanks a lot for great service!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Best place is to check for current trend -- trackitt.com -- there are many folks updating their timeline for each of them -- EAD/AP, I-485, GC card....

      Delete
  27. My EB2I priority date is 10th Feb , 2010.
    When do you think this date would become current?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Current trend to get GC for EB2 India is about 6 years.
      We need to wait and see how far it goes this year, then we can make some calculations.

      Delete
  28. Aditi/Ganesh,

    I have a question regarding Birth Certificate. How Crucial is the Date of Registration on birth certificate. I have been told that the Date of Registration should be close to 1 month from birth, if not it will not be valid. My Date of Registration is very recent. Will that be a problem & trigger a RFE ? Please let me know what you think.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Get an affidavit from your father and mother in support of the birth certificate and send it along with the other docs to the USCIS. You should be fine then.

      Delete
    2. Yes. Affidavit is always good.
      From my experience, the registration date didn't matter. I got my birth certificate only after my 10th.

      Delete
    3. Tan/Ambals .. Thanks for your replies.

      Delete
    4. Tan/Ambals,

      Do you know the format of affidavit that I need to get in support of the birth certificate ?

      Delete
    5. There is one sample here -- http://ambals.blogspot.com/2013/06/affidavit-of-birth-along-with-i-485.html
      Please do check with your immigration lawyer for sample. He has to be comfortable on what he files for you.

      Delete
    6. Make sure it at least includes the following:

      - Your parents current address
      - Parents DOB and birth place.
      - Their spouse name.
      - They need to declare how they are related to you (sounds absurd though)
      - All your information from your Birth certificate.

      Plus any other your lawyer may recommend.

      Delete
    7. I had the same issue and did the same and got affidavits from parents in India on Rs 100 stamp papers. Your lawyer would need the originals so make sure you ask your parents to get this done and send you ASAP (assuming you are filing for AOS within the next few days). Good Luck

      Delete
    8. Ambals/Tan,

      Thanks for all the information.

      Tan .. u said u had the same issue. Do you mean you got a RFE even after submitting the birth certificate ? I talked to my lawyer and it sounds like as long as we have birth certificate, the date of registration shouldn't matter. I'm a bit confused now :-(.

      Delete
  29. Hi Ambals

    Thanks for your blog! I would like to hear your opinion on why would so many cases with priority dates into OCT 2009 would get RFEs if USCIS has no plans to reach that date.

    Thanks!
    -Yogi

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yogi - I am confused as well. The only reason I can come with is, this is the first time they are implementing 1 year RFE for medical rule, so they are experimenting as well.

      Delete
  30. I think March 2010 is most likely next year

    ReplyDelete
  31. Hi Ambals, my friend and me have PD May 2009 and June 2009 and both of us got RFEs for Medical. It wouldnt make sense to get the RFE's if there is no Green Card until next year since the Medical is valid only for one year. Your opinion on this?

    ReplyDelete
  32. You have stated in you previous posts that some lawyer's websites are claiming movement up to Sep 09 in next bulletin. Can you please details of those websites?

    ReplyDelete
  33. Hi Ambals:

    Our priority date (me and my wife) is 02/02/2009 and according to immigrationroad.com/green-card-tracker, there are 17,584 applications pending ahead of us. We have already responded to my EVL + our medicals RFEs and USCIS has received them as of 07/01/2014. Our cases have the current status of "RFE response review." Based on your experience, what chances do you think we have to get our GCs this year?

    Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Although it should be obvious from the description, I thought that I should still mention that our case is EB2-India.

      Delete
  34. Hello Ambals, can you please specify which law firms made predictions for Sept'2009 PD in next bulletin? Thanks!!

    ReplyDelete
  35. Hi Ambals,
    My priority date is May 2008. I filed for my new perm in September 2013 under EB2 category. Bad luck, I got an RFE on it , this May. When do you think my perm will be approved in this situation? Will my perm be approved by October/ November? And in case my perm gets approved, do you think I will be able to get my EAD this year? Also, I haven't done my medicals yet, not sure if I should get it done now.
    Thanks a lot for your blog and highly appreciating your effort in helping people like us.

    Please reply,
    Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. According to this, they are reviewing Feb 2013 now -- https://icert.doleta.gov/

      Delete
  36. Hi Ambals,

    I have a priority date of Sep 08 and am thus current as of the Aug visa bulletin. I have also received an RFE for updated medical as of early June this year (to which I have responded). In your estimate, assuming no other glitches such as additional follow ups such as other RFE's, would I be able to get the EB2 GC approved this cycle ? If so, when would you estimate this to be ? Thanks for the great work that you have been doing on this front.

    ReplyDelete
  37. Hi Ambals,

    Thanks for all the clarification.
    What is your prediction for EB 3 india - 11Dec2003?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Looks like it is moving one week at a time. At this rate -- may be another 5 months.

      Delete
  38. Hi, My PD is Jan 2011. Any idea, when it will become current??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Current trend to get GC for EB2 India is about 6 years.

      Delete
  39. Hi. I was getting ready to file for AOS last year when pd June 2008 became current. The attorney did not file in time and pd retrogressed back until they became current. I did my medicals and photos October 30th 2013. Would it make sense to use the same medicals and photos for refilling? Looks like I may get an RFE regardless if my case is not adjudicated in 2014

    ReplyDelete
  40. Hi Ambals, Priority date in Oct 2006, I-140 Just applied and interfiling is done. What are the chances of getting green card this year?

    Any advantage in getting the medical tests done before an RFE? Any thoughts.


    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I would wait for Medicals till I get RFE.
      If there is no RFE, you should get it this month.

      Delete
  41. Hi,

    My PD : Aug 2008
    Ported from EB3 to EB2 two weeks back. Filed 485 july 7th. What are the chances of getting GC this year?
    Filed

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If there are no queries, you should get it.

      Delete
  42. Are there any cases where GC is issued 2-3 weeks in advance of the Visa Bulletin being in effect for a PD being current?

    For example, if my PD is current in Aug visa bulletin and I have responded to the RFE now, is there a possibility that VO can assign a visa and issue it now while he or she touches the file for RFE review or would they prefer to complete the review and wait until Aug 1st? Long time can't wait :-)

    ReplyDelete
  43. Hi,
    I have been following your blog for couple of years. My PD is Oct 2010, when do you think it will be current just to get EAD/AP.

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Current trend to get GC for EB2 India is about 6 years.
      When EB2 India date comes closer to May 2010, I expect they will open it up to get I-485 inventory. We need to wait and see how far it goes this year, then we can make some calculations.

      Delete
  44. Hi,

    my PD is sep 2013, any predictions on the EAD ? since USCIS many times accept applications in advance so people in many cases get EAD quite earlier ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Current trend to get GC for EB2 India is about 6 years.
      When EB2 India date comes closer to May 2010, I expect they will open it up to get I-485 inventory. We need to wait and see how far it goes this year, then we can make some calculations.

      Delete
  45. Hi any chances for apr 22 2009 eb2i this year?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It might go that far in the next bulletin. We need to wait and watch.

      Delete
    2. Thanks Ambals. Appreciate your response. Does it also required some kind of peer baba ke mannat as we do back home?

      Delete
  46. My PD is Jan 28 2009 eb2. Is there any chance of movement next month?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I am hoping it will move at least to 01 MAR 2009 for EB2 India.

      Delete
  47. Ambals,

    Do you think July 09 will become current next summer? I was hoping to be current this year, but it doesn't seem to be too optimistic.

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  48. Ambals, Thank you for your analysis. When do you anticipate Dec 2009 to become current

    ReplyDelete
  49. This is total idiocy when eb3 India dates are still on nob 2003 all spillover goes to eb2 India all because of bribing by Immigration voice

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. And the part that sucks is we EB3 guys have been donating longer than anybody to IV. :( Like you, I too had the feeling of being let down by IV! No more of my dollars to IV. Period!!

      Delete
  50. Hi Ambals,
    Great job in your detailed explanation and also taking time to respond to every query here.

    My PD is 26rd Jan 2009. As you know, Aug bulletin stopped just few days short of this. I have my Advance Parole and have travel to india scheduled for end of august.

    So, the question is, if the date becomes current for September bulletin, is it okay/safe to travel to India in August ?

    Would really appreciate your response on this.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is preferable if you are in US when I-485 is approved. Please check with your immigration lawyer on what is acceptable.

      Delete
  51. Any trend on EB3 GC? waiting period?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. EB3 India is moving one week per visa bulletin. I expect that to continue.

      Delete
  52. Hi Ambals, Hope all is well. The Priority date is 08/30/2006. Interfiling completed with EB2 I-140 premium just applied (not approved).

    Will the USCIS pick up for green card processing automatically as soon as the I-140 is approved? Do we need to perform any special process for linking to the old Priority date?

    What are the chances of getting the green card?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. In your I-140 approval notice you should see EB2 and the old priority date on it.

      Delete
    2. Thank you Ambals. So you are thinking if this should be picked up this month asap.

      Delete
  53. Hello Ambals,

    Can the medical tests be performed outside U.S if we get an RFE when we travel to India? Will this save time and helps not getting caught up while it retrogresses

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It has to be signed by list of civil surgeons approved by USCIS. So, he has to decide.

      Delete
  54. Hi Ambals,

    I've NABC and affidavit from parent and relative, is that sufficient to file 485?

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  55. Hi Guys,

    Can you help promote by signing this petition ?

    http://wh.gov/lLiOQ

    Thank you

    ReplyDelete
  56. EB2I Priority date 8 Oct 2008. Rfe (updated medical) response sent to usics on 7/11.

    When do you think I will get the card?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The status on the website went back to acceptance. What does it mean?

      Delete
  57. Hi all,

    My PD is 22 Jan 09. I was exhilarated when I opened August bulletin as I thought my date was current. But my joy lasted for 10 mins until I found out that the cut-off date is any date earlier than 22 Jan 09, So basically only till 21 Jan. I have been reading news alerts from some law firms that suggest there will not be any progression in the cut-ff dates for this fiscal year. It really hurts to imagine I missed the cut-off by just one freaking day. Can anyone prove these law firms are wrong. I'm not sure on what basis they give out these news alerts. Do they have special access to state department that we don't have. Adithi & Ganesh any thoughts?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Very sorry to hear that. I still feel it will go to atleast 01 Mar 09 next visa bulletin. Good Luck !

      Delete
    2. Hi,

      I can feel your pain. My PD is 13 NOV 2003, EB3. I also opend the August bulletin hoping that like always it would have moved by 2 weeks. But this time it only moved by a week. I was quite frustrated and disappointed until I saw your post. I can't imagine what it feels like to miss it by a day... and then wait for a whole agonizing month hoping that it will get current next month. Good Luck!!

      Thank you Ganesh & Aditi for all your hard work.

      Delete
  58. My priority date is Aug 5 2009, can you please advise when will my date hit? It could be likely in Sept 2014 bulletin I can expect it would touch Aug or Sep 2009?

    ReplyDelete
  59. Hi, thanks for answering these questions.
    My I-485 is pending and my PD is June 2008. As per USCIS, they have mailed an RFE to me on June 4th but I have not received yet. I also have requested them to resend it last week. I checked that my address is correct in their system from the beginning. Not sure why the mail did not reach me nor my attorney. Anyways, my question is do I still have a chance to get my GC this yr? I am hearing from many people that the RFEs are mostly for medicals because the ones that were submitted 2 yrs ago have expired. What would be the cut off for me to receive the RFE and respond to it so I will not miss the visa number this yr. I understand that the deadline on the RFE letter does not correlate to the visa availability timeframe. Appreciate your response.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. call them up asap and ask to resend the rfe, confirm the address of attorney and yours. ask ur attorney to call as well.

      Delete
  60. Ambals - THANK YOU VERY MUCH for what you have been doing with your analysis. Over the past 2 years or may be a little less i have been looking at updates on your blogpost and everytime you have been right. Keep up the good work.

    ReplyDelete
  61. Ambals,
    Do you think DOS may progress the dates to build inventory? My date is nov 2009. Please let me know your thoughts on when I would be able to file 485 to get EAD.
    Thank you for all you selfless work.

    ReplyDelete
  62. latest update from Fragomen: http://www.fragomen.com//SnapshotFiles/46680d78-8982-4df0-91b7-b0a8f37f8c02/Subscriber.snapshot?clid=477c113e-0038-4340-9119-014b889a79c5&cid=b2624453-0936-4f9d-a715-4d1657e7bf61&ce=CROKUb9shJM1XNXgMt2V7zv0pL9R8de1N%2fvJvROnpvg%3d

    EB-2 India will advance by nearly five months, to January 22, 2009, but could be retrogressed in the coming months.

    earlier this week they said that

    EB-2 India is not projected to advance further, and in fact could be retrogressed within the next several months, when demand is expected to increase.

    they seem to be consistent

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. "Will advance nearly five months, to Jan 22". It already did before they gave this prediction. Fragomen is not a clairvoyant, they don't have special access to state department, they are just interpreting the bulletin. So don't come to any conclusion from Fragomens news alerts. News alerts from Fragomen is crock of shit.

      Delete
  63. Hi Ambals

    I have a job offer and No EAD, have to use i-140 to transfer employer. my Priority date is July 3 rd 2009 EB2 I and do you think I should wait for next Visa bulletin before i submit my resignation? Some of my friends are saying it may get current in the next visa bulletin or October 2014 The employer is ready to wait for me to join until Sept 15th and I'm worried if i delay my labor processing with the new company may get delayed making me to wait until 2016 for EAD\GC,.Please help its kind of urgent. I'm stuck and very confused whether to move or not. Appreciate your quick response.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Here is my 2 cents: I to moved to the client company as they offered me a promotion but that's where things went bad to worst... My old PD is 2009 as well but the new Labor that my current employer applied went into audit (And the audits have drastically increased)... Things have changed from 2009; now keep in mind that it takes 7 - 8 months for labor to get approved and if it goes into audit add another 8 - 9 months. If the offer is really toooooooo good then take it... If not, my friend it's better to get your GC when you can and sure a new offer will come by. It's really frustrating when your PD is current and Labor is still not approved (I am living it and it really frustrating).

      Delete
  64. Ambals,

    MY PD Nov 2008. RD: Mar 2012: RFE for medicals and EVL received on 27-Jul and response should reach USCIS on 14-Jul. What do you think are realistic chance of me getting GC in the next 2 months before retrogression? Are there enough spill overs to clear 2008 PDs?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Similar situation with me. PD July 2008, filed in Jan 2012. RFE for medicals and EVL submitted to USCIS 9th July. Just checked online status as "Card sent for production". So yes I believe you should expect to receive yours in 2 months

      Delete
    2. Hi...Congrats. TSC? or NSC? After USCIS received RFE reply, did it change status to RFE Response Review before Card Production? Do you know the officer ID? Officer ID will be in the RFE letter sent to you. In the cover page.

      Delete
  65. Hello Ambals,

    Here is the question: The Priority date is Aug 2006. Will the in-process I-485 be selected as soon as the interfiled I-140 for EB2 capturing the old PD is approved by the USCIS ?

    When will I get the Green Card?

    Limitless thanks and endless appreciation for your time.

    ReplyDelete
  66. Nice JOB everyone! -
    Quick question - if 485 is rejected, for any reason - what are the steps available from legal point of view. Any information , would be helpful.

    ReplyDelete
  67. Sep 2009 is my priority date. Have EAD. But still on H1. Can I take a vertical promotion within the same employer? Should I amend my H1 or use Ac21? Are there any risks? When do you think Sep 2009 will become current?

    ReplyDelete
  68. Ambals, My PD is Nov 2007, will file AOS/EAD/AP by July end. My lawyer says current trend is EAD approval in 3.5 months and GC in 4-6 months. do you think they are correct on this ? sounds exaggerated to me.

    ReplyDelete
  69. Update from Oh Law Firm

    ​07/15/2014: India EB-2 Visa Bulletin Cut-Off Date Could Move Back as Early as November 2014?
    In the August 2014 Visa Bulletin, the State Department released their prediction for visa number movement for India EB-2 with a warning that it could move backward significantly in the next several months. According to the AILA, it could come as early as November 2014. Usually, visa numbers do not ​​retrogress in the first month (October) of a fiscal year, but tends to move backward later part of the first Quarter or first part of second Quarter. It is hoped that the number keeps moving forward for India EB-2 in September and Octobeer so that EB-2 Indian professionals get further relief before it faces another nightmare for a significant period of time. Result of November national election can bring some changes in the political environment, but the Aashington gridlock is likely to continue through at least 2016 Presidential election and broken immigration system may have to endure the pains for a long time. ​​

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. In other words will the dates be current till end of November month ?

      Delete
    2. It means, it will revert back to 2004 or some past year as early as Nov1 and not end of Nov.

      Delete
  70. HI Ambals,
    My Priorty date is January 6th 2009 EB2 India. This is the first time - i am going to file I485 and other docs. What are the chances to get GC this Year??
    Advance Thanks for your clarification.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 1%. Not to be discouraging, but it depends to a large extent on when the retrogression will take place and RFEs that you will get.

      Delete
  71. Hi Ambals,
    My PD is March 2008 and filed in Sep 2013. No RFE's yet. Do you think I will GC this month.

    Thanks in Advance
    Rahamath

    ReplyDelete
  72. My priority date is June 2006. I ported from EB3 to EB2. Do you think I will get my gc this year or will it retrogress later this year & will have to wait for another year?

    ReplyDelete
  73. Thanks for this amazing blog. I know movement of dates have been testy. I have my PD on march 2010. What are the chances to atleast get current next year so that i can have EAD handy? I was hoping if this years cycle should atleast cross second hald of 2009.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Next year looks promising for you.

      Delete
  74. My PD is MAY 12 2012 EB2, Can I expect EAD by early 2016 ?

    How many ppl r there b/w June 10th 2010 to June 20 2012.

    Thanks,

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Where can I see the statistics? I am willing to do the ground work but don't know where to look.

      Delete
  75. Hi,
    My PD is July 2008. Ported from eb3 to eb2. 140 is still pending . can we apply for 485 now since current is Sep 2008 ? Can we apply for 485 while 140 is pending ? What if by the time we get 140 the PD is no longer Sep 2008 but moves to Jan 2009 ? Pls help me understand this. Thank you so much in advance

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Until your I140 is approved under EB2, you cannot apply for 485 under EB2. If by the time your I140 is approved your PD is no longer current, you have to wait until it becomes current.

      Delete
    2. you may apply 485 with the i-140 receipt

      Delete
  76. Any chances for EB2I with PD Oct 2009 to be current in the next 2-3(Sep-Oct 2014) visa bulletins

    ReplyDelete
  77. Ambals & Friends,

    Need your input here...I have responded to my RFE and my date is current now. By looking at the trend, I may get green in a month or so.

    Now, that I haven't received my green, am i okay to accept new offer?

    Pls clarify if its doable and what effects do I have because of this?

    I know, this needs to be discussed with lawyer but wanted to understand, if any of you gone through this case.

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  78. Got Medical RFE for myself and Family PD - April 2009 (Responded to the same) what are the steps after that. - Do you think the dates will be current to April 2009 (Will I get my GC this year ??) - Pl advice, Thank You.

    ReplyDelete
  79. you have two options.
    1) you can upgrade for 140 premium process(which i did), For me it took only 3 days for approval.
    2)Still you are eligible to apply 485, since you are already porting.
    Best thing is first one. That's what my lawyer suggested.

    ReplyDelete
  80. Hi Ambals,

    Thank you for such an informative and helpful blog. My EB2 (India) has PD of Nov 17th, 2008. I got an RFE for medical last month that has already been submitted and shows accepted on the USCIS web site. Do I have any chance on getting the card this year.

    Thanks,
    - Indranil

    ReplyDelete
  81. yes,You will get GC in Aug/Sep this year.

    ReplyDelete
  82. Hello Ambals,
    My P D is Dec 2006 Eb3 category. If this keeps moving only 2 weeks per bulletin, are we really looking at 4 years of wait.

    ReplyDelete
  83. Hi Ambals,

    There should have been a pending inventory stats in july right?

    Nothing till now... What's your say in this?

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  84. When can I expect ead if priority date is 15 July 2011? Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  85. Thanks a lot for the service this blog provides. PD Aug 2010. Is it even realistic to think about 2015 for dates to get current?

    ReplyDelete
  86. Hi Ambals,

    Thank you very much for answering questions to a lot of people. My wife and I finished my fingerprinting on 7/23/2014 and I come under EB2 India category. My question to you or other knowledgeable members is on my I-797C, Notice of Action for I485 Case type and under Preference Classification for me says 'Employment Based 2nd'. My wife also works and her priority date is in March 2008, EB3 India category. 2 years ago, she changed employers and her current employer is applying in EB2 category, her company's attorney suggested that she be independent with all the backlogs etc so that she can continue working until I get mine. She is riding on my application. But her I-797C, Notice of Action and under Preference Classification says 'Employment Based 3rd'. I talked to my attorney and they have opened a 'service request' with the USCIS. Is this okay for my wife's receipt to say EB3 or should it be mentioning EB2 because she is riding on my application? (On the side note, her employer is applying for her labor in EB2 retaining the previous priority date).

    Thanks very much!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Just wanted to update if anyone had the same issue. The USCIS fixed the error.

      Delete
  87. Jan 2009 PD and i will be current in august 1 still no sign of any rfe. Not sure what is happening. Called uscis. They said they will send rfe if needed and i dont have to worry abt it. No idea wht that really means. Anyone in the same boat. My RD is feb 2012. Anyone got approved without rfe??

    ReplyDelete
  88. Hi Ambals,

    I have EB3 I-140 (Priority date 12/2008) from previous employer. New EB2 I-140 filed for amendment Successor in Interest. Can I file 485 even though I have pending I-140 amendment application ?

    ReplyDelete
  89. Replies
    1. Hiperm,

      Can you please share more details on your understanding as to why you think 485 can be filed. I need more details to talk to my employer and lawer.

      Delete
    2. This comment has been removed by the author.

      Delete
    3. hi
      Sorry i did not notice your first i-140 was EB3. First of all, Successor of interest can't be applied under EB2 for the perm approved in EB3.
      SOI means same job/position/location and just the company change.

      Delete
  90. July demand data is out

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Comparing with the prev demand data, I see very little changes. Is this normal ?

      Delete
    2. Can you please give me the link ? I see the new I-485 pending inventory data, but not demand data.

      Delete
    3. Ambals,
      You are correct. Only the inventory data is out. I confused inventory data with demand data. My apologies.

      Delete
    4. Whats difference between inventory data" and "demand data"

      Thanks.

      Delete
  91. HI Ambals,

    One very urgent question, I insisted to my lawyer to file the very first date of Aug 1st as my dates are current now. But now I am thinking that i should send mail on August 1 to be received on Aug 4, just to be safe. So that there is no doubt of sending in July when dates for me are getting current in Aug1.

    Please advise.

    ReplyDelete
  92. Hi Ambals, can you clarify the difference between demand and pending data?

    ReplyDelete
  93. http://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/EB-I-485-Pending-Inventory-July2014.pdf

    ReplyDelete
  94. Can some one please clarify these generic questions I have (Sorry if they are too simple that I should know).

    1) Are the dependent applications counted in the I-485 applications? or each application can have multiple applicants which means will take more visa numbers per app?

    2) How are there I-485 applications in EB3 2007 when the date never came to 2007 for EB3?

    Thanks in advance. Appreciate your time.

    ReplyDelete
  95. MY PD Nov 2008. RD: Mar 2012: RFE for medicals and EVL received on 27-Jul and response received by TSC 14-Jul. What do you think are realistic chance of me getting GC in the next 2 months before retrogression? Are there enough spill overs to clear 2008 PDs?

    ReplyDelete
  96. Hi Ambals,

    Thanks for the great work you have been doing. Based on the latest Inventory data published. What's your prediction for September visa bulletin.

    Thanks for your thoughts.

    ReplyDelete
  97. Appreciate your response on the latest pending inventory.

    ReplyDelete
  98. Looks like my Permanent residency has been approved and granted.
    This morning case status on the USCIS read as follows:
    'Card/ Document Production' and that the card will be mailed out within 30days.

    After about 10mins though when I refreshed the browser the status went back 'Decision'.

    On August 1, 2014, we mailed you a notice that we had registered this customer's new permanent resident status. Please follow any instructions on the notice. Your new permanent resident card should be mailed within 60 days following this registration or after you complete any ADIT processing referred to in the welcome notice, whichever is later. If you move before receiving your card, please call our customer service center at 1-800-375-5283.

    During this step the formal decision (approved/denied) is written and the decision notice is mailed and/or emailed to the applicant/petitioner. You can use our current processing time to gauge when you can expect to receive a final decision.

    Is the permanent residency really approved or is there going to be another step before I get GC in hand??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Congratulations! What's your PD and do you under EB2 or EB3? You should get your GC in 4-6 weeks.

      Delete
    2. Sept 11 2008
      Eb2

      Delete
  99. My eb3 priority date is June 2006..I got ported from eb3 to eb2 as a result of which I am current as of July. I have not received any rfe but I have not seen any movement on uscis website.. my lawyer said they have inquired about my case and are waiting for response. It's been 30 days now since my date became current. Do you think I will get GC anytime soon ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. you should contact your local congressman or senator's office and ask them to enquire about your case. If you tell me which city, state you live in. I can give you the link and explain how to do it.

      Delete
    2. I live in Orlando, Florida

      Delete