Tuesday, August 13, 2013

September 2013 Visa Bulletin and Analysis


GOOD NEWS ALL OVER !!!

September 2013 Visa Bulletin was released earlier today. Date for EB2 India is 15 JUN 08 and EB2 China is 08 AUG 08. The cut-off for all other EB2 countries are Current.

I expected the dates to move to 01 APR 08. But, it moved to 15 JUN 08, which is a very good news. Looks like there are lot more Spillover visas available than expected. Even the visa bulletin mentions this -- they say the EB1 demand has reduced in the last 2 months and also, there is less demand for EB2 other countries.

Also, I think it will retrogress back to earlier date in October 2013 visa bulletin for EB2 India. This is the reasoning behind it -- theoretically all the EB3 applicants can port to EB2. As long as there 300 or more porting, DOS will have to retrogress the date and keep it like that till the spillover is determined. But, Visa Bulletin prediction says there it might remain the same for a few months and then, it might retrogress. There is no viable data to decide which way it will go. It is purely based on DOS team's logic. Let us hope for the best and let it remain as it is.

Cut-off dates for EB3 India is 22 SEP 03 from 22 JAN 03 and EB3 China is 01 JUL 10 from 01 JAN 09. 

I think the movement for EB3 India is again because of spillover. This year is a special case were there is unused FB visas from last year. For EB3 as a whole there is 45,188 instead of the usual 40,040 visas this year. As the most backlogged country in the EB3 category,  India will get all the spillovers till it reaches the next severely backlogged country's date.

From the Bulletin:

EMPLOYMENT-based:
SECOND: 
India:  This cut-off date has been advanced significantly more than originally expected, based on the projection that there would be “otherwise unused” numbers under the overall Employment Second preference annual limit.  This is the result of a decrease in Employment First preference number use, and a similar decrease in Employment Second preference demand for most other countries during the past two months.  It is expected that such movement will generate a very significant amount of new India demand during the coming months. 
THIRD:
The Employment-based Third preference cut-off date for most countries was advanced at an extremely rapid pace in April through July in an effort to generate demand.  Historically such movements have resulted in a dramatic increase in applicant demand for numbers within a few months.  At this time there is no indication that the expected increase is materializing or will do so in the near future.  This has resulted in significant movements in the September cut-off for all countries. 
It is unlikely that there will be any forward movement of most Employment-based cut-off dates during the next couple of months.  In addition, a sudden surge in demand could require the retrogression of a cut-off date at any time.  Such action would be required if it appears that such number use could impact visa availability under the FY-2014 annual limits.

To view the September 2013 Visa Bulletin - http://www.travel.state.gov/visa/bulletin/bulletin_6050.html

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286 comments:

  1. Hi Ambals, My Priority date is 30th June 2011 in EB2 Category, any idea when it will be reached based on demand and at current pace ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Current trend is -- around 6 years from your priority date for EB2 India.

      Delete
  2. Hi, thanks for your analysis. I just looked at the September visa bulletin and see that EB2 dates for India is June 15th, 2008. My PD date is June 18th, 2008. Does this mean that I missed the boat by just 3 days? Do you have any predictions for the next month? Will I get a chance next month? Thanks !

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sorry to hear that. Realistically, at this point it looks it will become current only in July 2014. But, you never know, it is totally upto DOS to move it around.

      Delete
  3. the bestest blog for visa news! thanks for all the analysis these many years. I filed my I-485 last month after I was current in August.

    ReplyDelete
  4. I have been looking for an update from you since VB went live. Thanks.

    I have a question, my date became current with Sept.VB. I recently switched to a new job but did not submit AC21. What should be my next step?

    -GG

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is best to consult an immigration lawyer and file an AC21.

      Delete
  5. I'm current Mar 14 2008, Does anyone recommend opening a SR/InfoPass/Senator Letter to get my application the chance to be picked up , or will it hurt the chances anymore than if I didn't do anything ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There is no real way to say one way or other. My suggestion will be wait for the first week of Sept and see how it goes. The, call USCIS and check if your case in pre-adjudicated and also, give a letter to Senator's staff.

      Delete
  6. I filed my 485 in August 2007 for EB3, PD May 2007. I moved to EB2 I-140 approved and interfile filed in April 2013. How long does it generally take for a decision on 485? Any general ideas?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I m on same boat, eb3 2007, change to eb2 .but not heard any thing for gc

      Delete
    2. I suggest you call USCIS and ask if your interfiling is done properly and if your case is pre-adjudicated.

      Delete
    3. I call them today and she created SR and ask me to wait for 15 days. I hope I will get positive response.

      Delete
    4. What number to call for such details from USCIS???

      Delete
    5. I called them and they had my call sent to second level CSR and she said the system shows that the case is pre-adjudicated and assigned to a immigration officer but she said she doesn't know anything more than that... I asked her how long and she didn't know.... I'm current now... I wonder if anyone knows how long it usually takes for the case to be approved after pre-adjudication...May 2007 is the PD

      Delete
  7. My PD is Apr 15 2008. So i am now current. I have my EAD and have applied 485. IF the dates retrogress in the Oct 2013 bulletin. Will i get my GC in the next couple of months or no?

    Thanks
    Raj

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. For you to get your GC, you should be current.

      Delete
  8. Hi Ambals,

    Did you receive your GC yet?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Its around the corner I guess. Wish you the best.

      I had a question. DO you think its an issue if we talk to L2 officer just to make sure things are moving or should I just wait. PD Feb 2008.

      Delete
    2. My PD is Nov 2006,It became Current in August 2013 Visabulletin,I have added as dependent through spouse on EB2 category.I moved from the current address long back which i gave at the time of I-485 filing,but i submitted the AR-11 form online for address change on 09-AUG-2013.and i informed to USCIS as well on 1-800 number.They said if submit through online it will take 30days to receive the Receipt.Does it give any impact when the USCIS issue the GC.Any one has an idea ..let me know..Any suggestion that i need to call USCIS and create an SR.


      Got reply below :
      AnonymousAugust 14, 2013 at 3:15 PM
      Stage - I : Update AR-11
      Stage - II: Update pending cases to new address.
      Second stage is key for all pending cases.

      TO which number i need to call to update the address in Pending cases ..Appreciate a quick reply ..

      Delete
    3. Since you have already called 1-800 number it is better to do an infopass and go talk to someone.

      Delete
    4. Talking to L2 officer, sure, you can call and verify if everything is in order.

      Delete
  9. My PD will be current in October 2009. Can you predict how far it will go for the next couple months? when my PD become current, what should I do next?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. As per the visa bulletin, they don't expect any movement now for EB2 India. It might also retrogress. We have to see how the porting goes and we will get a better idea.

      Delete
  10. I have three more months to get my PD current. Can anyone predict how far it will go for the next coming months? My PD will be current in October 2012. Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  11. April 09 seems close enough to hope for next year yet the EB3 flood and all other spillover computation is very hard to judge.

    ReplyDelete
  12. Now that this year has progressed to Jun 08, any idea how far it will go in 2014? Maybe as far as Dec 08?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Depends on porting and number of visa available to EB2 India. If there is 20,000 visas available and if there are 5000 portings, it might move to JUN 09.

      Delete
  13. Hello Ambal,
    With your expertise I would like you to guide me.
    My priority date is Feb 2011. I am not quite happy with my current employer. I have i140 approved. Can I transfer my H1 and have same priority date? or is there any other option?
    Appreciate your help.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Good job Ambals!

      Delete
    2. I think it is better to consult an immigration lawyer.
      Some folks have done that. I am not sure how. Typically, you need your I-485 waiting for 6 months or more, I-140 approved and EAD card in hand to make a move and keep the priority date.

      Delete
    3. Yes, you need to file new PERM labor and I-140 with new employer. your I-140 will port your old PD Feb-2011.

      Delete
    4. When can I change my employer? After getting EAD or GC?

      Delete
    5. You can move to new employer at any time (give 6 months time after approval of 140). But you need to start the PERM and 140 process again from beginning. While filing new 140, you can port the old priority date to new 140. Make sure you have the old 140 approval notice copy (you can use FOIA request to get the 140 copy,if your employer is not sharing).

      Delete
  14. Hi Ambals
    You are doing an awesome work and even more being awesome at responding to users' concerns.Thanks a lot.
    I do have a question too..however not for the Green card..My PD is March 2011, any idea when would I be eligible for EAD?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Based on current trend I would think sometime in 2016 your priority date should become current and as soon as that happens you will get your EAD. Unless DOS decides to forecast the demand in between like they did last year, then it's possible that you might get the EAD sooner. Since they already have demand data up until mid 2010, I don't think they will forecast again until 2015. So really best case would be 2015 and worst case could be > 2016. So much depends on porting too.

      Delete
  15. My PD is Nov 2006,It became Current in August 2013 Visabulletin,I have added as dependent through spouse on EB2 category.I moved from the current address long back which i gave at the time of I-485 filing,but i submitted the AR-11 form online for address change on 09-AUG-2013.and i informed to USCIS as well on 1-800 number.They said if submit through online it will take 30days to receive the Receipt.Does it give any impact when the USCIS issue the GC.Any one has an idea ..let me know..Any suggestion that i need to call USCIS and create an SR.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Stage - I : Update AR-11
      Stage - II: Update pending cases to new address.

      Second stage is key for all pending cases.

      Delete
  16. Ambals

    Any idea, if the Jun 15 2008 will stay like this for few months (next 4 to 6 months) ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Source: Sep VB

      It is unlikely that there will be any forward movement of most Employment-based cut-off dates during the next couple of months. In addition, a sudden surge in demand could require the retrogression of a cut-off date at any time. Such action would be required if it appears that such number use could impact visa availability under the FY-2014 annual limits.

      Delete
    2. Thank you. I was atleast hoping that it would stay as it is for the next few months. Will see

      Delete
  17. How is it like approaching the senator office? My my file was submiited on aug 7th.waiting for receipt

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I don't think it will help. When you should approach Senator's office is, if everything is done and you are waiting for visa number.

      Delete
    2. Thank you. .what if iapproach esrliet?

      Delete
    3. Even if you approach, I think the answer from USCIS will be something like we are processing it and we will get back to you when it is complete. They have to ask you to come for finger printing, then they have to security check and then check all the documents...

      Delete
  18. My PD is (EB3) Sep 29, 2003 so I missed the September VB by 7 days! Any idea if I will get current any time soon? I guess not, since there's no demand data?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I think it will be current in October.

      Delete
  19. Dear Ambals,

    First of all I would like to say thank you for your effort in providing us the best and precise analysis of Visa Bulletin every month.

    Can you predict when my EB2 PD (10th OCt 2010) can becosme current?

    In 2012 I missed by 5 months.

    :)

    Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
  20. Hello Ambals,

    Thanks for all your blogs. I am spent a lot of time reading through these comments and your answers. My PD is Jan 08, 08 and am current. I was current in Dec 2011 and had got by EAD before the dates retrogressed back. The day when I get the GC in hand, I will be like a hindi movie mother who sees her son 20 years after he got lost in a village fair.

    Any idea how long it takes to get GC in hand (I think i am pre-adjudicated and recieved RFE jun 14th)?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The approvals are happening in random order, even though they claim it is per USCIS receive date of I-485 for primary applicant. If you don't get any update as on Sept 9, call USCIS and check if your case is pre-adjudicated and confirm your address. Also, request your local congressman or senator's office to check your status.

      Delete
    2. Thanks again. Greatly appreciate your service.

      Delete
  21. thanks for all the info ambals, I am finally current now!

    ReplyDelete
  22. My priority date is April 14 2003, any predictions when it could become current. I am not sure why EB3 dates moved so fast. I was assuming all spillover first goes to EB2 and EB3 will not get any spillover unless EB2 is current. Any clarification about that would help.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If you are EB3 India category and if your priority date is 14 April 2003. You will be current in september as per September Visa Bulletin.

      Delete
    2. Sorry for the typo.

      My priority date is EB3 April 14 2004

      Delete
    3. I think it will start going back to 2 weeks movement per visa bulletin starting October. If we are lucky with some other country spillover and lot of porting, then it might become current in Sept 2014.

      Delete
    4. Thanks for the response. I have been trying to get EB-2 PERM for last 3 and half years and got rejected due to some reason or the other.
      So wouldn't mind waiting for another 2 years on EB3.

      Delete
  23. Hi Ambals,
    First of all thanks for the great work you are doing. Secondly, I do have question and I would appreciate if you or someone can share experience or knowledge.
    I am current in Sept Visa Bulletin and will be filing my I-485 first time. Do you know list of Vaccines we need to take during medical Exam?

    The reason I am asking is that my wife is pregnant and I want to make sure she can have those vaccines during pregnancy. Also, what if she cannot have certain kind of vaccines? Do Doctor write the note in report? Does that create RFE later?


    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I understand that you can check with the Civil Surgeon and get waivers on certain vaccinations which may not be safe during pregnancy. It will be good to call the civil surgeon you are going to for medical exam and check with them.

      Delete
    2. I was in the same situation as your wife. I was not comfortable taking any vaccines during pregnancy (even if they were considered safe or low risk).
      Three things I did:
      1. Got a letter from my family doctor in India, listing the vaccine schedule taken from birth to adolescence as per the cdc/usics requirements.
      (Search for "cdc immunization schedule" or "uscis vaccine" online). I presented this to the civil surgeon filling the I-693). This way I avoided taking any shots.
      2. The other thing is the TB test. This is done using a skin test, again I was not comfortable with the dye test (even though this is considered very low risk). There is a blood test you can do for the same purpose. So, I requested the civil surgeon to perform a blood test for the TB. This costed us a bit more and not covered by insurance.
      3.Do mention to the civil surgeon about the pregnancy so that they are able to give you the right advise regarding the tests and vaccines.

      Delete
    3. Thanks for quick response.
      1. Thank god we have medical certificate for all the vaccines mention at cdc/usics except Hepatitis A & B. But that certificate is in local lauguage. Do you see that could be a problem?

      2. I agree I also lean more toward Blood test rather than skin test.

      3. Sure we will mention about pregnancy.

      Delete
    4. Try to get a translation, or better yet, if your folks are in India and can get a certificate (just needs to be on a doctor's letter head) that will do too (this is what we did).

      Delete
  24. Do you think Jan 2009 EB2-I has a chance next year? Especially without the FB spillover?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thanks for the response. Can you elaborate a little? I am skeptical and perhaps pessimistic because *even with* 18K spillover, EB2-I date could make only Jun 2008. I don't think it is impressive because 2 years ago, the PD was at April 2007...so net increase for 2 years is slightly over an year.

      I think everyone agrees that there won't be FB spillover next year and from my readings of forums, I don't see EB1 or EB2-ROW demand has reduced substantially for long term. I heard that sequestration has helped slowed PERM processing and the temporary dip in EB1 and EB2-ROW approvals helped push EB2-I date.

      Given so many things working against us, do you think a 7 month advance is possible next year? Can you put a percentage number (even from your gut feeling) on the likelihood of end of January 2009 being current? I need to plan some life changing events around the best informed opinions I can gather.

      Delete
    2. As per today's available data, in the last 5 years, EB2 India has got minimum 10,000 GCs and maximum 24,000. Assuming 6000 porting and if 10,000 are available for EB2 India, then it will go to about 01 OCT 08 by Sept 2014. Assuming 3000 porting and if 25,000 are available, then it will go to about 01 DEC 09 by Sept 2014. I believe it will be somewhere in the middle, that is why I think Jan 2009 is possible.

      Delete
    3. Thanks. I think more realistic is 15000 available and 5000 porting. I checked the inventory and Jan 2009 seems on the border.

      Delete
  25. I have a very unfortunate case I guess. My labor has not yet been filed and my PD is current (Apr 08). Do you think this date will survive 6 months ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Very little chance, it might be the same for next 6 months.

      Delete
    2. I think it will come back in July 2014. It will be perfect for you -- as labor is taking about 7 months to clear these days. Make sure, your lawyer files I-140 in premium along with interfiling as soon as the labor is cleared.

      Delete
  26. Hello Ambals,
    Thanks for the timely updates. These updates are really helpful. Appreciate your time and effort.

    ReplyDelete
  27. Hi, you mentioned that theoritically all EB3 can port to EB2. Is that true? Is there a criteria based on which they can port? and is there an annual limit to it?

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There is no annual limit. But, as long as you have a 4 year bachelors degree and 5 years of experience -- you are eligible for EB2.

      Delete
    2. Ambals I guess..."5 years of experience which does not include the sponsoring company..."

      Delete
    3. True. With some loop holes :)

      Delete
  28. My PD is 11Dec2003 EB3I. Do you think it will become current in the next month's bulletin.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I think for EB3 India, it will start moving at 2 weeks per bulletin from next bulletin.

      Delete
    2. Ok. Thanks @Ambals

      Delete
    3. ok. Thanks @Ambals

      Delete
  29. My EB2 PD is 8Nov 2006 and I have filled for I-485 on August 2. What is the chance of getting GC and when.

    Any idea what will be the priority in Oct, Nov 2014?

    ReplyDelete
  30. march 2009 eb2, any idea when will i be current

    ReplyDelete
  31. HI Ambals. Not sure I understand this:
    "Also, I think it will retrogress back to earlier date in October 2013 visa bulletin for EB2 India. This is the reasoning behind it -- theoretically all the EB3 applicants can port to EB2."
    all EB3 applicants port to EB2?

    My PD was June 17th 2008.
    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The requirement for EB2 is Bachelors with 5 years of experience. So, everyone whose PD is August 2007 or earlier under EB3, are eligible to port to EB2. As per last inventory, there are 41,024 applications like this.
      What I mean in the above statement is -- all of these 41,024 applicants can theoretically come under EB2. Though it is not practical.

      Delete
    2. ITs not practical at all.. even if eb3 port there are two reasons that wont happen so fast. 1) not all companies allow porting, so u have change jobs. 2) You do need to file labor and current labor process is 6 months, so if 41k apply for eb2 they can come in only after 6 months. I dont think its gonna retrogress so fast.

      Delete
    3. Absolutely true. But, you need to remember, lot of applicants has already started the process and it increasing every month. It is just a matter of time you will see them on I-485 data and demand data.

      Delete
  32. My priority date is July 2009, any idea when it can be possible current...

    ReplyDelete
  33. Anybody received the fp notice..?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. you can find the information in this thread.

      http://www.trackitt.com/usa-discussion-forums/i485-eb/1273265365/let-us-group-first-time-i-485-filing-aug-2013

      Thanks,
      memeananth

      Delete
  34. Hi Ambals, my PD is 12/17/2008 in EB2 India. In worst case scenario when my PD will be current? how long will it take to get GC in hand after the PD is current. I am willing to switch my job soon, your input is really helpful for me to find out the best time to move to a new job.
    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Very hard to tell at this point. But with today's data, it should become current in August 2014.
      If you have already filed I-485 and all the documents are in order, you should get your GC in the same month you become current.

      Delete
  35. Hi Ambals.. Thanks very much for your service. My PD is Nov 2007. After I changed jobs last year the process was re-started this year and I am still waiting for "prevailing wage". Any idea by the time my I-140 is approved (say 8 months from now at best) would my PD be current ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If it retrogresses, I think it will be current in July 2014.

      Delete
  36. Hi Ambals, My PD is Nov 2007 EB2-I and my CP interview has been scheduled on 4th Sept.Would you please guide me what are the documents I need to carry along with offer letter.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I have very less knowledge about this.

      Please refer to these links:
      http://www.uscis.gov/portal/site/uscis/menuitem.eb1d4c2a3e5b9ac89243c6a7543f6d1a/?vgnextoid=62280a5659083210VgnVCM100000082ca60aRCRD&vgnextchannel=62280a5659083210VgnVCM100000082ca60aRCRD

      http://www.immihelp.com/immigrant-visa/immigrant-visa-interview.html

      Delete
  37. Hey.. Does the biometric and finger print happens the same day same office? Or there is a separate notice all to

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Any thoughts?

      Delete
    2. I not sure what the difference is. Thought both are same.

      Delete
    3. From USCIS persective, Biometric = fingerprint.

      Delete
    4. Biometrics are the photo and the form we fill out at the finger printing counter. Finger prints are finger prints.

      My understanding...

      Delete
  38. Hi Ambals,

    Thanks for sharing your knowledge and helping this group.

    I need your input on my case

    I am porting to EB2 and my PD is current. I just filed my i-140 and my employer has confirmed that I can't do parallel filing.

    So the question is

    1. Assuming that my 140 is approved and I am able successfully file my i-485 within this month and then next month the date retrogressed. How long does it take to get EAD approximately. Will USCIS consider my application for EAD?

    2. If I am not able to file i485 within this month and date retrogress, I believe I will have to wait till the date is current. is that true?

    3. Any chances that this PD remains same in next month

    Thanks a lot!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 1. EAD has nothing to do with being current or not. As per current rate, you should get in 60 days after you file you appliation.
      2. Yes. You need to be current to file I-485.
      3. Very less chance. But, we are hoping for that.

      Delete
  39. Hi,

    My PD is October 13th 2003 (EB3).Will it going move from soon need to wait for a long time? Thanks in advance.

    -Venkat

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes. Hopefully in Nov 2013.

      Delete
    2. Thanks Mr. Ambals Appreciate the response. Apologies for the Typo in my question.

      Delete
  40. Any chance Dec 2009 PD being current in 2014 ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hard to say, most likely not. It will depend a little on the strategy uscis takes. But 2015 for sure.

      Delete
  41. Hi Ambals.. Considering the speed at which uscis works!.. 300 porting from EB3 to EB2 is highly optimistic.. even though there may be more EB3 porting, but I suspect how many of them will be approved within time by UCSIS

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Except last quarter, we have seen 300 portings or more on more according to demand data. That is the reason, they kept the EB2 India date as 01 SEP 04 all along.

      Delete
  42. A new WH petition : http://wh.gov/lgXNN

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Similar petition already came up on WH, when it started. WH responded saying they need to do pass a law to change this.

      Delete
    2. I wish these petition initiators had the patience to think and write effectively in proper english rather than casually spitting out these requests one after another to the presidential office.

      Delete
    3. Why not you initiate a petition and publish here. I will sign it for sure.

      Delete
  43. Hi Ambals,

    Your space has some really value added analysis.I have been a follower of your blog for a while now. Thank you!

    Would appreciate your advice on my situation:

    My PD date became current with the Setember'13 Bulletin. I have a valid AP until July 2014.
    I have international travel plans in Oct'13. Would it be okay to travel on a valid AP, while the PD is current, but while the GC hasn't been issued yet?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I guess, you should be ok to travel on AP while waiting for GC and when your date is current.

      Only when you apply for H1 extension until it is approved you should not travel as they extend your I94.

      Delete
    2. Adding more info...

      Applicants should NOT travel outside the U.S. after filing for adjustment of status unless they have a receipt for the I-1-485 form and plan to travel and return as an H-1B status holder OR they have the advanced parole form I-512. Applicants who travel without the proper paperwork may be considered to have “abandoned” their PR application by travelling outside the U.S. with the wrong documents or at the wrong time. Please contact an immigration attorney if you have questions about travelling while the I-485 application is pending.

      Delete
  44. Hi Ambal, my priority date is oct 2006 EB2 India, last time I was unfortunate to get the GC coz of interview and the dates moved back. My case status still shows "Testing and Interview" I have opened a SR last week but haven't seen any movement in my case. Any suggesting how should I pursue my case now ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If you are in the US, you should contact your local congressman or Senator's office and ask them to check with USCIS.

      Delete
  45. Hello... USCIS received the first time 485 on 7th. Called today to USCIS and spoke with L2 officer and he said- my information has not been added to the system yet and the data entry will happen and then I will receive the receipt date. It takes approximately 30 days.. Anyone in same boat?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Any thoughts?

      Delete
    2. Check this thread: http://www.trackitt.com/usa-discussion-forums/i485-eb/1273265365/let-us-group-first-time-i-485-filing-aug-2013

      Delete
    3. Coming friday Aug 23rd u will get ur receipt notices..

      Delete
  46. Hi
    MY PD is in July 2010.... how long do you think is my wait time?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Current trend is 6 years from your priority date

      Delete
  47. Hey Ambals....This is not a green card question....I have a typical scenario pertainign to H1B and H4 visa.

    My wife traveling to India for couple of months and she is getting H4 visa stamping based on my current employer's petition.

    But I will most probably be changing employer while she is in India (not before my wife is getting visa stamped).

    My questions are -

    Can she enter US on H4 visa stamped through my old employer

    If she can, then does she has to provide new petition which will be given to me by new employer (and I will ship it to her in India) when she enters US

    I would prefer if she gives new petition because then she would have more validity to stay in US.....but would like to know if there is any risk here.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I am sorry. I am not sure. Its better to ask a good immigration lawyer.

      Delete
  48. Received all receipts except my advance payroll receipt. any one in same situation?

    ReplyDelete
  49. Hi Ambals,

    Great job in maintaining this blog. My date is current and I am trying to file the 485. I believe they need copies of all i-20's. I do have only 2 of my i-20's available. I destroyed the other 2 long time back. Will that be fine or will I get an RFE? Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
  50. Can someone resolve this difference between me and my friend ? If my priority date is current in the September bulletin, then I am current as of Sep.1st. The earliest I can get my Green Card is probably the first week of September. Is that a correct assumption ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. yes, your assumption is spot on

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    2. No, You wont get until Sep 20th..if u wont believe then count the days

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    3. Yes. Earliest will be Sept 1.

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  51. Hi Ambals,

    My PD is May 2007 (EB3 to EB2 porting) and applied for I-485 for the first time on August 1 (TSC) of this month. I did early walk in and completed finger printing last week itself. Any chance of getting GC approved next month?

    Please reply.

    Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Early walk in wont help for approval of GC...but if your original finger print date was in august month then u have more chance to get GC on Sep30. Suppose if ur FP scheduled date is sep 03 or after then no chance even though u did early walk in. don't be too smart

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    2. Very less chance. Typical time frame is 90 days from the time you file your I-485

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  52. My priority date is Mar 2011. When do you think it will ever be current?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Current trend is 6 years from your priority date

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  53. Hi
    My Priority Date is Sep 13 2003 EB3 India. Do you think this date will be current in Oct/Nov 2013 beyond Sept 2013. ? I have also begun the porting process but nowhere near filing I140. Now my company wants to wait to see if this case will come through. Should I wait and see or continue porting

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I don't think EB3 India date will go back. I think it will keep going forward.

      Delete
  54. Hi,
    Our PD is July 23rd 2009. Can you please let me know by when we can get our GC?

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Most likely in August 2015 going by current trends.

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    2. My priority date is Feb 2009, any idea when it can be possible current. With current porting trend will I get my chance by Sep 2014

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    3. As per today's available data, in the last 5 years, EB2 India has got minimum 10,000 GCs and maximum 24,000. Assuming 6000 porting and if 10,000 are available for EB2 India, then it will go to about 01 OCT 08 by Sept 2014. Assuming 3000 porting and if 25,000 are available, then it will go to about 01 DEC 09 by Sept 2014. I believe it will be somewhere in the middle, say 01 May 09. But, we have to wait and watch to access the trend better.

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    4. Thank you Ambals for the details. Fingers crossed. One more year wait seems inevitable for me at this stage.

      Delete
  55. Thanks, you are doing a great job. My PD is March 11, 2003 (EB3). I already have a I-485/EAD. I bought a home and am moving end of September. (1) Will I get my GC before then? (2) If they are doing random GCs is there a chance that even with an I-485 submitted I might have to wait until next month or later for the GC? (3) If I do not get my GC in September, do I simply do my AR-11 (online or phone is better?) and sit tight hoping that there is no retrogression in October?

    ReplyDelete
  56. One of your long time followers
    I got my card yesterday. Good luck and best wishes for all waiting for the card.

    ReplyDelete
  57. My PD is 1st july 2008 EB2 India, Any idea when it can possible current. Is there any chance it can current in next 2-3 visa bulletins.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sorry. At this point, I think it will become current around July 2014.

      Delete
  58. Hi Ambals,

    I filed for I-485 for the first time on Aug 1 (received) at NSC. My PD is Nov 2007. I haven't received a FP notice yet. So would trying to do early walk in help in anyway? If yes, how do I get an appointment?
    Thank you!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Early walk in, is totally at the discretion of the officer there in the local office.
      I think it is better to wait for your notice to come and go the date they ask you to come.

      Delete
    2. You will have to wait to get your FP Notice. They will be scanning the barcode etc from the FP Notice.

      Delete
  59. Hi Ambals,
    My EB3 priority date is April 2003, which makes it look like I have a decent chance. Based on your expertise, how do you rate my chances and if they actually do move my paperwork, when do I actually hope to get the gc?
    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I am assuming, you filed your I-485 and all the paper work in 2007, you should get in first 3 weeks.

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  60. Hi Ambals, I am a silent follower of ur blog and liked it! I am a physician, currently on h1(j waiver). This is my first yr on the 3 yr waiver program. Do u suggest to apply for GC now or wait for 4 more yrs and then apply after doing the national interest waiver. Thanks in advance!

    ReplyDelete
  61. My priority date is nov 2005 Eb3. What are your predictions for the gc due date ?:)

    ReplyDelete
  62. My pd is nov 2005 Eb3. When can I expect my gc?
    Thx,

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There are about 21,000 in front of you -- from nov 2003 -- according to July inventory. If we assume 3000 GCs are given per year for EB3 India, we are talking 7 years. But the good news is -- lot of folks are porting to EB2. There are few spillovers available as well. So, it will be sooner.

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    2. Ambals, How can I check how many are in front of me in line?

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    3. For now the best available data is as of July 17. In october they should release a better number. Pending I-485 inventory here -- http://www.uscis.gov/portal/site/uscis/menuitem.eb1d4c2a3e5b9ac89243c6a7543f6d1a/?vgnextoid=16551543455e5210VgnVCM100000082ca60aRCRD&vgnextchannel=16551543455e5210VgnVCM100000082ca60aRCRD

      Delete
  63. Hey, My PD is dec 2003(EB3). Do you think it will be current by the end of this year?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 01-Dec-2003 should become current in next 5 months. It might be earlier depending on porting.

      Delete
  64. Hi Ambals.
    I am a Nurse from India and my PD is June 2006.
    Can you share your opinion when I can expect my Green Card.
    Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If it is EB3 India, it might be another 8 years. I know that they waive LCA. I am not sure if there is any special category for nurses.

      Delete
  65. My pd is oct 2008 Eb2, do you think next year will be the year for late 2008 applicants. I hope so, starting 6th year now!

    ReplyDelete
  66. I have finished my fp yesterday and no case status update. Anyone in same scenario? When can I expect GC..during fp.. I asked the officer as to how long it takes for you to send the information to my file and he said...it is live and goes immediate..so I assume.my case should be picked?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. After FP, FBI has to do name check. That might take 30 days to 3 months.

      Delete
  67. Ambals,

    Any chances for EB2I moving forward or staying in current date in the next VB?

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It can stay as it is -- if DOS/USCIS -- decides to do it that way. But, moving forward, I think it will be only in July 2014.

      Delete
  68. My priority date is Nov 9, 2007 EB2I. Responded to June 14th RFE and it was received at USCIS on June 24,2013. My status on their site says "RFE review"
    Any chances of me getting GC before dates retrogress?

    please advise

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There is a very good chance, you will get it before end of next month.
      It is better to call USCIS and talk to L2 officer and see what is the status.
      It will also help, if you contact your congressman or Senator's office and ask them to inquire about your case.

      Delete
  69. My PD is Jun 13,2008 EB2 direct,i become current in SEP, happy about that but still not sure if i get GC next month or will be leftover.If i miss the boat now,only time i can get current again is 8-10 months from now. I have couple of questions, Can you answer please.

    1) coming SEP 3rd, on what basis they pick the files, is it based on RFE,RD,PD or Direct EB2 cases etc ? I haven't received any RFE till now,but if they go by PD, i will be the last and there is a very definite chance that visas might get over early.what are the chances of picking up my file ?
    2) are all EB3 to EB2 porters till Jun 15,08 considered for SEP bulletin ? my question is most of the people may not requested for interfiling and they can request now as the date becomes current.
    3) assumption is total around 6000 porters, out of that how many people from Jan 1 - Jun 15 ,08 ? Just want to see how many newly added from AUG to SEPT bulletin ?

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 1. They say it is based on I-485 receive date. But the approvals suggest there is no specific order.
      2. Yes.
      3. You don't have to worry about new I-485 filings, because, it will take about 3 months for them to get the GC. All the other porters, who have already filed I-485, could have ported anytime. But, there is no data to say what the number is for July, Aug and Sept.

      Delete
  70. I am going to file (first time) 485 on 03 SEP 2013, how long will it take to get finger print appointment?
    My son's passport is expiring in Feb 2014, and My passport expiring May 2014. Is there any minimum passport validity for finger print?
    I am thinking to apply for a passport next week, as per the procedure I have a chance get in 3 weeks. OR Do I need wait to complete my finger print then renew the passport?

    Please advise.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. First thing first... Finger prints, they did not even check my passport. And I don't think it will take so-long for getting your FP Notices. I don't think it matters. I recently got my new passport. i.e. it was expiring end of September but when I filed for my 485 etc., the lawyer said it doesn't matter that we will have to submit the new passport copies etc./ The passport is expiring in X Number of days. She asked me to get the whole passport scanned in color and send it kind of. But I got my passport renewed just before they filed my 485. So new passport copies were also attached. It's my experience kind of... Best answer is... Check with your lawyer.

      Delete
    2. I don't think there is any minimum validity. Like the previous comment says, please check with your lawyer and follow his lead.

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  71. Does anyone know whether requirement of 6 months with your sponsored employer after recieving GC is mandatory or a suggestion? What/if issue can it cause say during citizenship filing? Any case anyone is aware of whose GC is compromised because they didn't stay with the employer long enough after GC? Assuming that the intent to stay with employer is there upon GC but circumstances change within 1 month or so.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. check these links:

      http://forums.immigration.com/showthread.php?154533-Rajiv-s-opinion-on-changing-job-after-GC

      http://www.murthy.com/2013/06/24/job-change-during-or-after-i-485-approval/

      Delete
  72. Thanks so much for your quick reply Ambals
    our company immigration attorney has asked not to contact USCIS and just wait for normal processing?
    If I call USCIS and talk to L2 officer does it create any red flags!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I don't think so. I did it myself. No issues. I have seen lot of people doing it and getting it in trackitt.com

      Delete
    2. Thanks Ambals
      How do I get hold of L2 officer?

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    3. Try this -- http://immigrationroad.com/resource/check-uscis-case-status-phone.php -- then ask if your case is preadjudicated -- they will transfer you to L2. If not, you can specifically say you want to talk to L2 officer.

      Delete
  73. Ambals,

    First of all, thanks to all of your input on my previous questions. Finally my 140 is approved will be able to file 485 this month.

    Please let me know, if you could clarify this..

    Does the medical exam for 485 be borne by the insurance. Looks like the doctor is charging $400 per head.

    Any idea on this?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Same here..paid 780 for 2 people..Only Blue cross blue shield insurance covers the GCmedical Insurance..But you an shop around the approved doctors and get little less deal. Also I read in some forums that you an get the shots from General City Medical administrator for literally free cost..thus you need not get exorbitant rate for the shots to the doctor..

      Delete
    2. This is what you can do. Go to your regular family doctor and you ask, you missed these vaccinations and you want to take them. Then, your doctor can claim insurance and see. As a part of your yearly physical, most of the insurance covers vaccinations as well. There is no guarantee.
      Then, you can take those records to your civil doctor who is certified by USCIS.

      Delete
  74. Any idea how long to get GC , my PD gets current 5/7/2003 , in Sep 2013.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If you filed all the forms and everything is in order, you should get in first couple of weeks.
      You can always call USCIS and see if your case is pre-adjudicated.

      Delete
  75. Hi,

    My priority date is Aug 2010.I-140 is approved. Now I have full time employment opportunity who is ready to transfer my H1B and do my GC. They mentioned that they I can retain the earlier priority date for me,, I am not sure . There is CIR rumor... If CIR happens when can I expect my date to be current... if CIR does not happen what is approximate time ,my priority date will be current. Do you suggest joining full time job at this time..I had my priority date as jan 2009, I changes employer before 140 approved. I already missed GC line once...Now I am scared to miss second time..Please suggest on this..

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. To be on safer side, wait with the same employer.

      Delete
  76. Most informative blog among the lot.
    My PD is april 2009 and I am on EAD(got lucky when the dates became current for one month in mar 2012 and applied at the time). Any idea when I can expect the all important plastic card ? At this rate, I am hoping for 2014. Am I correct ?
    Also, I have a 2 year combo EAD/AP card that is valid from april 2013 - apr 2015. I traveled to India in Aug 2013 on AP and on re-entry, my passport was stamped as a parolee with an i-94 date of aug 2014 although my combo card is valid for 2 years. What does it mean in terms of renewals ? Should I have to renew my AP alone before aug 2014 ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Forgot to mention I am on EB2I.

      Delete
  77. I’m one of your long time followers. Thank you for keeping our hopes alive!
    I got my card today. 9 year long journey came to an end, good luck and best wishes for all waiting for the card.

    ReplyDelete