GOOD NEWS ALL OVER !!!
September 2013 Visa Bulletin was released earlier today. Date for EB2 India is 15 JUN 08 and EB2 China is 08 AUG 08. The cut-off for all other EB2 countries are Current.
I expected the dates to move to 01 APR 08. But, it moved to 15 JUN 08, which is a very good news. Looks like there are lot more Spillover visas available than expected. Even the visa bulletin mentions this -- they say the EB1 demand has reduced in the last 2 months and also, there is less demand for EB2 other countries.
Also, I think it will retrogress back to earlier date in October 2013 visa bulletin for EB2 India. This is the reasoning behind it -- theoretically all the EB3 applicants can port to EB2. As long as there 300 or more porting, DOS will have to retrogress the date and keep it like that till the spillover is determined. But, Visa Bulletin prediction says there it might remain the same for a few months and then, it might retrogress. There is no viable data to decide which way it will go. It is purely based on DOS team's logic. Let us hope for the best and let it remain as it is.
Cut-off dates for EB3 India is 22 SEP 03 from 22 JAN 03 and EB3 China is 01 JUL 10 from 01 JAN 09.
I think the movement for EB3 India is again because of spillover. This year is a special case were there is unused FB visas from last year. For EB3 as a whole there is 45,188 instead of the usual 40,040 visas this year. As the most backlogged country in the EB3 category, India will get all the spillovers till it reaches the next severely backlogged country's date.
From the Bulletin:
India: This cut-off date has been advanced significantly more than originally expected, based on the projection that there would be “otherwise unused” numbers under the overall Employment Second preference annual limit. This is the result of a decrease in Employment First preference number use, and a similar decrease in Employment Second preference demand for most other countries during the past two months. It is expected that such movement will generate a very significant amount of new India demand during the coming months.
The Employment-based Third preference cut-off date for most countries was advanced at an extremely rapid pace in April through July in an effort to generate demand. Historically such movements have resulted in a dramatic increase in applicant demand for numbers within a few months. At this time there is no indication that the expected increase is materializing or will do so in the near future. This has resulted in significant movements in the September cut-off for all countries.
It is unlikely that there will be any forward movement of most Employment-based cut-off dates during the next couple of months. In addition, a sudden surge in demand could require the retrogression of a cut-off date at any time. Such action would be required if it appears that such number use could impact visa availability under the FY-2014 annual limits.
To view the September 2013 Visa Bulletin - http://www.travel.state.gov/visa/bulletin/bulletin_6050.html