Friday, May 10, 2013

June 2013 Visa Bulletin and Analysis



June 2013 Visa Bulletin was released earlier today. Date for EB2 India is 01 SEP 04 and EB2 China is 15 JUL 08. The cut-off for all other EB2 countries are Current.

As expected the EB2 India has not moved. The good news here is EB2 China dates are moving, which means till EB2 India reaches that date, it can consume all the spill over numbers that comes to  EB2 category.

The demand data for this month had been released earlier. The cumulative demand prior to Jan 1, 2005 rose to 450 from 425 from 375 from 300 and the cumulative demand prior to 1 Jan 2009 is 24,050 from 23,850 from 23,400 from 23,975.

July, August and September Visa Bulletins will be the last 3 for this Fiscal Year. I am still hoping EB2 dates will start moving from next bulletin onwards. Now, how much movement is all dependent on two main factors -- how much spillover EB2 India will get and how much porting will happen.  Going by this month's demand data, the porting is increasing steadily. Assuming, USCIS/DOS is giving about 260 per month green cards till date for EB2 India. Then, if the spillover is about 10,000 then the dates will move to 01-JAN-08. I am hoping atleast that will happen.

Cut-off dates for EB3 India is 08 JAN 03 and EB3 China is 01 SEP 08. As expected, EB3 India is moving at one week or two weeks per month pace. For EB3 India, it is going to move at this pace only till there is a legislative change. The reason being there is no spill over to EB3 India category. Hence only about 2800 green cards are given for this category every year.

To view the June 2013 Visa Bulletin -- Please Click Here

To view the Demand Data -- Please Click Here

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154 comments:

  1. Ambals,

    In your earlier post you were saying EB2I will get 18,000 visas as Spillover. But in current post you are estimating there will be around 10,000 visas as spill over. Could you pls let us know onto why spill over is getting reduced for EB2 India? And other question I had, will they move straight to Jan2008 or they go with stops to that date?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No. All I am telling is, we still don't have clear data on what the spillover is going to be. It will be nice if we can at-least get 10,000.

      Delete
    2. Demand prior to Jan 2008 is less than 8K. Which means with 10000 spillover it could be mid June 2008 also right?

      Delete
    3. Recent developments about 20k applications coming out of the blue have completely dampened any hopes. Frankly CIR is the only hope left

      Delete
  2. Hi, are you planning to post any more recipes? Its been a while since you posted any. Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Really, you are concerned about recipes, go to google and search, oh i think you are lazy to do that, please click on this link, I saved the effort for you:.

      https://www.google.com/#hl=en&gs_rn=12&gs_ri=psy-ab&tok=wzaLap_v0FuW_1CWL8MQQA&cp=13&gs_id=2t&xhr=t&q=Indian+food+recipes&es_nrs=true&pf=p&sclient=psy-ab&oq=Indian+food+r&gs_l=&pbx=1&bav=on.2,or.r_cp.r_qf.&bvm=bv.46340616,d.aWM&fp=bfcb64d484c1031b&biw=1241&bih=606

      Delete
    2. I guess since Ambals predictions are never correct, atleast we can use their recipes..just kidding....

      Delete
    3. Ambals are doing a great Job of atleast Analyzing and documenting the facts...There is no obligation to follow their blog and thus people who want to criticize can follow other blogs..why blame Ambals for doing a selfless service...

      Delete
  3. Recipes for green card

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Recipe for Green card is mix tons and tons of patience with tons and tons of time.
      Mix it well and let it cook for minimum 5-6 years without adding any emotions or efforts to the recipe. Just like wine older it gets better it taste.

      Delete
    2. Awesome dude. and just to be specific:
      If you want it more spicy, leave it on stove for 10-12 years (EB3), if you want it quick, as you said 5-6 years (EB2)
      :)

      Delete
    3. For Instant food--Open EB1 cane :)

      Delete
  4. How sure are you that the EB2 dates will move next month?

    ReplyDelete
  5. With EB2 ROW moving further most of the spill overs could be used. So what EB2 I will get is mystery. But JUNE VB will reveal this.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Spill overs are never revealed in the VB.

      VB is just to stop more people rushing in than needed. Since there will be some spill overs (which no body knows how much, till last month of the year) So VB will move to a certain date, depending on the Employment demand but it will not indicate how much was spill overs. This movement is just a guesstimate but not a real indicator.

      Delete
  6. Ambals - Please don't raise the hopes of many only to be crashed later. I don't believe the dates will move ahead in the final quarter.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hope is the only thing that is keeping us all going :)

      Delete
    2. To Anonymous crying about being crashed later. You always have an option to close your eyes and ears to the world.

      I believe Ambals are doing a great self-less service and should be appreciated if nothing less than that. Hope is the one that keeps us alive and kicking.

      Delete
    3. There is a difference between realistic hope and wishful thinking. In fact, my statement is to protect the Ambals because if the line doesn't move ahead in the last quarter then all those who had pinned their hopes reading Ambals previous blog entries on this topic will begin a barrage of attacks on him and if the line does move ahead then lucky for Ambals, they'll be treated as gods of prophecy. That's all!

      Delete
    4. You sure did not sound this in you first post....

      "There is a difference between realistic hope and wishful thinking. In fact, my statement is to protect the Ambals because if the line doesn't move ahead in the last quarter then all those who had pinned their hopes reading Ambals previous blog entries on this topic will begin a barrage of attacks on him and if the line does move ahead then lucky for Ambals, they'll be treated as gods of prophecy. That's all!"

      Delete
  7. One has to understand all this theory n possible prediction is based on data available. EB2 dates may move for 2008 , again we all waited till now I think one month patience needed to see possible change in dates.

    ReplyDelete
  8. Any thought that due to immigration reform bill EB2 india may get current as the bill passes in August- Sep..? pls suggest..

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Even if it passes, I don't think changes are rolled out before Oct 2014. I maybe wrong.

      Delete
    2. I believe Oct 2014 date was for the point system. Other changes might take effect immediately. This is my understanding as there is not not much clarity as of now on immigration bill.

      Delete
    3. Point system doesn't take into effect until like 5 years or so.

      Delete
    4. "Point system doesn't take into effect until like 5 years or so."

      This is not correct. Please read section 2301 in the bill. I copied one para for you.

      ‘‘(c) MERIT-BASED IMMIGRANTS.—
      '‘(1) FISCAL YEARS 1 THROUGH 4.—For the first 4 fiscal years beginning after the date of enactment of the Border Security, Economic Opportunity, and Immigration Modernization Act, the worldwide level of merit-based immigrant visas made available under section 201(e)(1) shall be available for aliens described in section 203(b)(3) and in addition to any visas available for such aliens under such section.

      Delete
    5. Merit based is different from Point System. It will be implemented after 5 years. Please read the highlights of the bill

      http://www.cilawgroup.com/news/2013/04/16/senate-immigration-reform-proposal-released-summary-and-analysis/

      Delete
    6. What is point based system then if it is not same as merit based system? The link does not have a separate category listed for point system. I think they are same and it does gets implemented before 5 years.

      Delete
    7. I think my comment above yours was a little confusing. What I meant was there will be immediate help to people with MS and PhD's in 2014. The point based system like they have in Canada will get implemented after 5 years. So if you have a PhD, you wont even be counted in the inventory. If you have a MS degree and if your PD for EB is withing five years of graduation, you will be exempt just like PHD.

      Delete
    8. There are 2 separate point-based merit systems. One goes into effect from Oct 2014 and the other one goes into effect after 5 year. Please check this: http://www.murthy.com/2013/05/03/immigration-reform-bill-summary-part-2-of-2/

      Delete
    9. To sum it up, there is only one point based system in the bill with 2 categories: one taking effect in Oct 2014 and other taking effect after 5 years.

      Delete
    10. In short, the point based system like they have in Canada does not come into effect till like 2018 or 2019. IF CIR bill passes we will see significant reductions in backlog next year. Unfortunately, doesn't look like it will pass as it it w/o major amendments for legal aliens.

      Delete
  9. My PD is Nov 2007. Hoping next bulletin gets me to file 485. How long does it take after that? Any inputs?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hope is fine Sir, but don't get crushed if it does not happen. I wish good luck to you. If happens then 2-4 months for EAD. Note that you can file only in July if dates become current in next bulletin.

      Delete
    2. Thanks. I take it as it will happen someday. Best case is next month. If not, then its not time yet :)

      Delete
    3. Now you talking.... good luck

      Delete
    4. Once you file I-485 -- there is FBI name check and you need to do finger printing. So, it might take about 3 months. You need to hope for 2 things: one -- your priority date to become current and two -- it stays that will till you get your green card.

      Delete
  10. Filed I-485 last year. PD is Jan 8 2008, When do you think if date will become current will I be approved for greencard. I finished bio metrics and interview. Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  11. Thank you Aditi/Ganesh for your informative blog. I have one question.

    Has EB3->EB2 (for India) porting inreased year over year past 3-4 years? i.e. how much cumulative demand prior to Jan2004, Jan2003, Jan2002 etc...existed in prior years' Q3 visa bulletins?

    A simpified way to put it is, has porting increased in recent years? If so, what you think is primary reason? The rules haven't changed now then they were in the past years, have they? If not, then is it just more awareness of that option among the EB3 community?

    Thank you!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It has become popular and more applicants has become eligible from last year.

      Delete
  12. My priority date is April 2010 in EB2 category.... When do you think this priority date will be current?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 2020.. Mine is Feb 2008 and I am hoping for 2015. Fingers crossed ;))

      Delete
    2. With PD of 2010, you should hope for the Immigration Bill to pass. It will be a long journey otherwise.

      Delete
    3. Frankly no one knows what will happen. I guess we maybe able to see early to mid 2008 dates current soon. They may open up more dates next year if they need more money from people on ead.

      Delete
  13. Feb 2008 should be current within a coupla months based on the amount of spillover.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Tere mooh mein ghee shaker!!!

      Delete
  14. With the current porting rate (before Sept 2004) EB2-I will use the quota this year without any movement in visa dates for EB2-I. There are 1000-1200 applications pending between Sep - 04 to Feb - 07 as per last 485 inventory. Even if USCIS assumes porting will be steady (~300 per month) and spillover is 10000 the dates won't move beyond Feb 2007. I am not sure how it will be Jan 2008 unless I am missing something else.

    The truth is porting will be much higher in later months, so if USCIS is cautious in moving dates next month we might not even see 2007 dates this year.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The spillover prediction for this year was 13000 as of last month.
      Has that changed?
      If not, wouldn't that push the date to Jan 2008?

      Delete
    2. No one know what the spillover will be. We might get a better idea when latest 485 inventory data is released. Even if we get 13000 the best date can only be July 2007.
      Also, I am not sure when ambals said 1000 spillover, did they mean spillover from EB category alone or from FB too. Though we might not get all 18000 from FB but we will get good chunk of it. That can cause the dates to move forward more.
      How the dates move forward will depend on whether USCIS considers porting in calculation or not. My guess is they will, and in that case dates wont move much.

      Delete
  15. WOW! Looks like we will get used to the discouragement. Just waiting to see yeah it will move this month... Oh no it did not... What to do... Probably next month... Yeah, sure in 2013... 2014...20...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Dont worry every body will get by 2050 :)

      Delete
  16. Hi,

    I had few questions.

    1) Does the demand data contain only those applications for which I140 has been approved and I485 has not been filed, or does it only include only those application for which 140 has been approved and I485 has been filed or does it include application for which I140 has been approved irrespective of whether I458 has been filed or not?

    2) Does the demand data for EB2 also contain applications which have have been successfully ported from EB3 to EB2 (I140 approved under EB2)?


    3) Does the inventory report contain only those applications for which I485 has been filed?

    Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I am not sure if I got your question right... demand data has nothing to do with I-140. Demand data is the number of I-485 applications pending at USCIS and have not been issued a visa number. If you are asking 1, 2 or 3 to be picked, then its 3.

      Delete
    2. To be very precise, demand data only contains I-485 applications that have been pre-adjudicated. It does not include pending I-485 cases.

      Delete
    3. All 3 are seperate questions.
      I was trying to understand whats is included in the demand data and in the inventory report.I always thought that the demand data report included applications for which I140 was approved irrespective of whether for those application I 485 was filed or not (i.e.irrespective of whether the date was current or not).

      On the other hand I thought that inventory report contained only those applications for which I 485 was field but are pending since thier dates are not current any more(i.e. dates are retrogated).

      Is my understanding correct?

      Delete
    4. The demand data report includes I-485 cases and not I-140. I-485 cases include the whole family numbers. But as we all know that I-485 can be filed only when priority date is current, the number of porting cases are still unknown. As soon as PD is changed from 2004 to let's say 2007, all the porting candidates with PD on or before 2007 will join the demand data.

      If 300 porting cases are being added every month when 2004 is current, just think what an avalanche it will be when dates are moved to say 2007.

      Delete
  17. Does any one know how many visas are allocated for EB2-Iduring fy13 (Not the spillover guesstimate). last one year, EB2-I is not moved, Assuming those numbers should be available before July'13.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. EB2-I gets 2800 every year. All that is currently and will be consumed due to porting with priority dates before Sept 2004. If there is no spillover EB2 will not move forward at all this year.

      Delete
    2. Every year it is 2800 or more. This year it is 3163.

      Delete
  18. What does pre-adjudicated mean? how do we know whether an application is pre-adjudicated or not? If I dont receive an RFE does that mean 485 is likely to have been pre-adjudicated?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can call the USCIS customer service number and talk to L2 officer to see if your application is pre-adjudicated (everything is good to go and waiting for PD to become current)

      Delete
  19. Hi Ambals,

    Your blog's been very informative. Thanks for all your updates. Do you know what's the status of immigration bill? and what are the odds of that bill passed in both the houses and enacted.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Debate is on with lot of amendments in Senate Judiciary committee.

      Delete
    2. Senate Immigration Bill Passes Out Of Judiciary Committee. Yay !!!

      http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/05/21/senate-immigration-bill_n_3315271.html

      Delete
  20. Does the Demand Data include spouse and children of the primary applicant? If so, do their visas count against the EB2 qouta?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. yes, it does.

      Delete
    2. Yes, it does. That will be one of the greatest benefits of immigration reform, since they would just count the I140 applicant not the dependents.

      Delete
  21. Is USCIS doing same to India's dates as what IRS has done to conservatives application. Keeping it in 2004 to build pressure for immigration reform and making it a case for reform.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I don't think so. It is all about the number of visas available. Unfortunately math is not working out great for Indians. Ironically Indians are great with math :-)

      Delete
  22. Hi All,

    Pending Employment-Based I-485 Inventory released today.

    http://www.uscis.gov/portal/site/uscis/menuitem.eb1d4c2a3e5b9ac89243c6a7543f6d1a/?vgnextoid=16551543455e5210VgnVCM100000082ca60aRCRD&vgnextchannel=16551543455e5210VgnVCM100000082ca60aRCRD

    ReplyDelete
  23. Hi ambal,

    I have question. As per I-485 inventory data for April 2nd 2013. The cumulative data for india before jan 2005 is 810 but Demand data says 425. is it right or just name shake they are publish this data. please give me your opinion.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. They are 2 different numbers. I-485 data has just the I-485 numbers that are pending. Demand data has the pre-adjudicated I-485 and the applications pending on consulates outside of US.

      Delete
  24. Hey,nice blog. My PD is June, 2008. What are the chances of it becoming current this year? If not when? Any ideas appreciated, thank you very much !

    ReplyDelete
  25. Immigration Bill approved by Senate.Will this in any way positively impact the Priority Dates?Its really vague as to what relief this immigration bill will bring to thousands of immigrants like us.Does anyone have a clear idea regarding the ramifications for H1Bs if this bill is passed?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No No. It is just coming out to Senate Judiciary committee to go to Senate.

      Delete
  26. Hi Ambals
    Are you familiar with US politics rules? The question is can Senate override House decisions? If Senate passes the bill next month while House has not even come up with their bill yet, will the bill be hanging until House comes up?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If the senate passes the bill, it will go to the House. It is upto the house to take it up or not. But, the same bill with exact same wordings has to be passed by both House and Senate and signed by President -- to become law.

      Delete
    2. It seems House is preparing a piecemeal approach. A part of the bill about so called high skilled workers is below. I read in IV forum that this one is to be announced tomorrow

      http://thehill.com/blogs/hillicon-valley/technology/299157-rep-issa-given-major-role-in-house-gops-immigration-push

      Delete
  27. look at this link for a general idea...google is filled with information on this topic searches like "how a bill becomes law in USA" will give you enough things to read tonight.....enjoy..if you find something interesting then share...

    http://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://help.lexisnexis.com/tabula-rasa/congressional/US/en_US/images/bill2law.gif&imgrefurl=http://help.lexisnexis.com/tabula-rasa/congressional/billbecomeslaw_cpt-concept?lbu%3DUS%26locale%3Den_US%26audience%3Dall&h=558&w=432&sz=103&tbnid=4KLeBog6Ho-pEM:&tbnh=90&tbnw=70&zoom=1&usg=__Dd7O6jKkSuhr3JO5Gs1A8FklBlE=&docid=U3YLVDb8QDYv6M&sa=X&ei=v_2cUZfbLIT68QTo_IEo&sqi=2&ved=0CEEQ9QEwAw&dur=485

    ReplyDelete
  28. I-485 inventory is published today. Looking forward for the analysis from Ambals

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It came out yesterday. I am still trying to figure out why they released April 2nd data on May 21 ?

      Delete
    2. Can you please provide with your analysis on this. I am looking forward to it :)

      Thanks for doing this wonderful service for all of us. Really appreciate it. You guys rock!!!

      Delete
  29. Visa on Passport expires in June 2013. I 797 expires Oct 2013. I will be out of US in July either on business or unpaid leave to India. If i go thru a consulate to get visa till OCt 2013 will I face any issues in the interview since I will only have 2-3 months on my visa?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Would certainly appreciate if you could answer this Q

      Delete
    2. Typically you should not. It is better to check with your immigration lawyer since he is the one who can help you end of the day with specific information.

      Also, are you extending your h1b ?

      Delete
    3. Well i'm only extending it till oct 2013. My perm is in process so once I'm back will file for recoup and hopefully if I get an I 140 approval before end of recoup (mar 2014), will file for H1B extension. Attiryney did say its not a problem, just want to be sure

      Delete
  30. Ambals, first of all, thanks for maintaining this blog! Your wisdom is greatly appreciated!!
    ( I also feel like I should apologize for all the asinine questions that pop up every now and then -- it always makes me smirk when you silently ignore them! )

    I just wanted to share this bit of news that I came across today -- this is relevant to most of us that follow your blog:
    http://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/23/technology/long-wait-for-a-green-card-could-be-ending.html?pagewanted=all

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thanks! That is a well written article.

      Delete
  31. EB spillover 130000.. plus FB spillover 18000. so totally 31000 thousand visas available for EB2 retrogressed countries (India & China) ..Since China's PD moved advance most of the spillovers will go to EB2 India to match with china, End of this Fiscal year both india and china will share the same PD. so expected PD for EB2 india will be March-2008 within next 3 months.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi,
      Where did you get these spillover numbers from?

      Delete
  32. FB spillovers goes to all the categories, So EB3 (I) will get some more additional visas,so there will be some movement (30 days) in next 3 months in Eb3 category. Eb2 will get some numbers from FB and more from EB spillovers. China 15JUL08 will be matched in best case. Expected PD for EB2 india for next 3 months will be b/w Jan 2008 to March 2008. So guys get ready to file your 485 if u missed earlier. all who filled best of luck for your GC.

    ReplyDelete
  33. Ambals - If you had to take a wild guess, what does your gut instinct tell you about the EB2-I line in the next visa bulletins?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. My hope is, it will go to 01-Sept-07 in July Bulletin and to 01-APR-08 by September 2013.

      Delete
  34. Ambals : Thank You for taking time to write the blogs particularly immigration.

    My question is with Employment spillover lets say about 10K + the family based spillover of 13k where do you think the EB2 India could go up to? Any chances of EB2 India - 13th March 2008 getting EAD this year?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. My hope is, it will go to 01-APR-08 by September 2013.

      Delete
    2. Mine is June 2008, pray for atleast June 2008!

      Delete
  35. Guys, I'm having sleepless nights with whether the line will move ahead or not. Way too much stress and anxiety. I'm sure there are others that might feel the same. Let's pray that we see positive movement.

    ReplyDelete
  36. I have FB spill over rule,. It gates equally distributed to each category right. In that
    e1:~5k
    eb2:`5k
    eb3 :`5k
    e4&eb5:~3k

    But if e1,e3 and eb4 did not use these numbers since they are current. Does that numbers go to eb2 category and further along how it will distributed to in EB2 india and china

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If EB4 and EB5 doesnot use, it goes to EB1, if EB1 does not use, it goes to EB2. In EB2, till EB2 India reaches EB2 China, everything will be used by EB2 India.

      Delete
  37. Best of my knowledge, after analysing all the metrics...here is my prediction for the July visa bulletin:
    EB2- CHINA- Sep-1-2008
    EB2- INDIA - Sep-1-2007

    ReplyDelete
  38. Does USCIS look at porting numbers when they set dates in the VB or do they only go by 485 inventory?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. As far as my understanding goes, DOS sees primarily the Demand Data (pre-adjudicated) to set the dates. They do get input from USCIS on porting and I-485 inventory.

      Delete
    2. If DOS sees only demand data, EB3 ROW is only 450 before Jan 2013. Shouldn't that category be current now? Its still in Sept 08.

      Delete
  39. Mine is October-5-2007- Is there any chances for that date in July Visa bulletin?

    ReplyDelete
  40. My PD is December 5 2007 - How likely that date will become current in July'13 VB

    ReplyDelete
  41. very unlikely that EB2 India will move beyond 1st January 2005 in July 2013 VISA bulleting. If at all there is any major movement, that will happen only in August or September VISA bulletin.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. My attorney says the same.. He thinks chances of it moving to 2007 is only 2 %. All we have to do is wait and see what happens. I don't think these calculations can give any estimate or predict the dates in next VB

      Delete
    2. I totally agree; if there is any movement it will not go beyond 1st January 2005 in July 2013 VISA bulletin.

      Delete
    3. I think your pd is arround jan 2005...ha ha..wait and see it will stay some day in 2007

      Delete
    4. It will go some date in 2007, dont think based on your PD

      Delete
  42. Can we expect the bulletin tomorrow? Worried that it won't touch 2007 date.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Mostly monday... till then.... check this -- http://www.fragomen.com/SnapshotFiles/32e715a9-8b61-4b5b-8c77-980daa8b1b3e/Subscriber.snapshot?clid=5dc90fc9-8ae6-4e70-9dea-d99821dd2cc4&cid=6a13a1c1-d1d8-422f-ab63-4805a0a37e0b&ce=7Z3f5qM2QzWRq6yZI%2bi7U685P2fN5Gh6

      Delete
    2. my heart sank....my PD is march 15th 2008....god this is so frustrating

      Delete
    3. You might still have a chance this FY....

      Delete
  43. That's great news Ambals! Really appreciate your predictions and help on GC matters.

    ReplyDelete
  44. My pd is april 25 2008 in EB2 what's the best case

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Best case is this August visa bulletin. But, With all the projections and news articles, looks like it will be next July.

      Delete
  45. My PD is Dec-2 2004 in EB3 India Category. Any chance of getting my GC in next 5 years.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Let us see how EB2 I moves till Sept. That will give a very good idea of how many folks ported from EB3 to EB2. Also, let us hope for immigration reform.

      Delete
  46. State Department Projects Significant Movement for EB-2 India Later This Summer
    June 6, 2013
    The priority date cut-off for EB-2 India could advance as far as February 2008 in the August or September Visa Bulletin, according to Charles Oppenheim, the senior State Department official responsible for visa control. The EB-2 India cut-off date has been stalled at September 1, 2004 since October 2012.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Spill over is 14K
      EB2 INDIA
      July VB--> Anydate b/w June to Sep 2007;
      August VB--> Anydate b/w Sep 2007 to Jan 2008
      Sep VB --> Anydate b/w Jan 2008 to April 2008

      Delete
  47. Thank you Ambal- The above recent link is so promising.. I am so looking forward for the dates to be October- 2007 on Monday.

    ReplyDelete
  48. Also, one more thing- Let's say my October-2007 becomes current on Monday- will there be a room for to get the GC or this may retrogress with the backdated and I might miss the GC window? In short- how long the October-2007 should remain current for to have the GC generated from their office.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Assuming, you become current in July visa bulletin and you have filed I-485 and all the formalities are done and your case pre-adjudicated, then you should your GC in July itself. If you will only file your I-485 in July, then it might take 3 months processing, so you need to watch for the dates to stay current till you get your green card.

      Delete
    2. wait until monday, the dates may struck before oct 2007,

      Delete
    3. oh boy... mine is October 5th 2007. I hope it touches that. Waiting another month could be a nightmare!

      Delete
  49. July Visa demand data is out. Trend remains same.

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  50. Thank you- I am planning to file all the documents AT the earliest. I am not going to waste a day. To that note- let's say- I file everything in July time frame- what are the possiblities of having the date remain current for Oct-2007? Do you think, it will remain current for another few months based on your analysis..
    YOU ARE THE BEST- Can't wait for Monday..

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    1. Surely it will stay till Sept. We have to wait and watch what will happen in Oct. You need to have birth certificate and marriage certificate. Those are the main things from your side.

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    2. OK.Sure. I have those two ready- However, my BC has the First Name but doesn't have the last name in it( as you know Indian BC doesn't have the last name seperately mentioned).My father name however has the last name mentioned. I think that should be OK? right? Also, Do you by anychance know- how much would be the cost of filling the I 485 for me and my spouse? I think my company will be paying but just curious.

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    3. You might have to get an affidavit from your parents for Birth Certificate.

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    4. anyway you need birth affidavits from parents and relatives..withour birth affidavits surely you will get RFE beware..

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    5. What if I have the BC include the last name in my first name? Should that solve the problem?

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    6. Anything different than your application, you need an affidavit.

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    7. But my first name appear same as it appears on the Passport so why there would be an RFE? My first name in passport is exactly what that shows on my BC. It is simply that the surname column in BC is not available and that is why that it doesn';t

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    8. My parents are here in the US with me visiting. Can I get the Birth Certificate affidavit done here in the US? What does the BC affidavit look like as in what information does it contain? Can it just be notarized by a Notary Public?

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  51. I will be filling in July( given the dates becomes current) when can I expect the EAD documents? Atleast I can start moving around and travel!

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    1. Around 45 days is kind of the trend.

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  52. Demand data for july date determiniation is posted on website.
    Ambala based on these data could u provide u r analysis on potential tobe date eb2 in july.

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    1. Based on the demand data, we can't predict anything...as USCIS said April-2008 will be the final PD for this year..so the next 3 VB as follows July-->sep-2007, august-->Jan-2008, Sep-->April-2008

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    2. Demand Data trend is the same. At this point, we are waiting for a clear picture of Spill Overs and how the dates will move based on that.

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  53. I filed mine towards the end of April and got it within 30 days.

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  54. Great- THANK YOU- YOU GUYS ARE BEST- SEE you on Monday with the smiling FACE!

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  55. No change for July !! http://travel.state.gov/visa/bulletin/bulletin_5993.html

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  56. That's weirded. All hopes are crashed.

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  57. In July 2013 visa bulletin, USCIS, in the last few paras, has given some prediction/indication of the possible movements in August 2013 and September 2013 bulletins!! Can Aditi and Ganesh throw some light on those indications given by USCIS itself?

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  58. God...howlong in waiting, my pd is mar 2009,hoping it will take 2more years, around end of 2015... :-(

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  59. Visa Bulletin published today EB2 01JAN08..

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